Walsall 2-2 Gillingham — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - 2nd Division, 3 Apr 2026

📅03/04/2026 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
1.75
Draw
28%
3.45
Away
24%
4.31
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
61%
1.74
Over 2.5
39%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.95
No
54%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
34%
2.76
2-3 Goals
41%
1.7
4-5 Goals
17%
3.74
6+ Goals
8%
16.9
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.76 — our 34% vs market 28.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
2.26
1/2
5%
34.0
1/X
8%
14.35
X/1
15%
4.12
X/2
9%
9.19
X/X
13%
4.57
2/1
10%
25.0
2/2
10%
7.73
2/X
7%
16.05
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
54%
-5.9pp
29%
Draw
26%
+2.6pp
24%
Away Win
20%
+3.3pp
61%
Under 2.5
54%
+7.0pp
39%
Over 2.5
46%
-7.0pp
46%
BTTS Yes
47%
-0.9pp
54%
BTTS No
53%
+0.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Walsall EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Gillingham EU Bookmakers 23%
-7% / -27% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -9% / -11%
1.61/0.89 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.86/1.37
-4% / -18% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -38% / +15%
55% Ball Possession 45%
14 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
265 · 69% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 213 · 64%
24.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.3
23.7 Crosses 18.7
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Walsall
2W-3D-1L
AWAY Gillingham
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
1.44 xG 0.96
45% Ball Possession 55%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 3
184 Passes 262
61% Pass Accuracy 68%
22 Box Touches 24
16 Crosses 21
2 Yellow Cards 2
09.08.2025 Gillingham Gillingham 1-0 HT 0-0 Walsall Walsall İN2
22.03.2025 Gillingham Gillingham 0-0 HT 0-0 Walsall Walsall İN2
11.02.2025 Walsall Walsall 1-1 HT 0-0 Gillingham Gillingham İN2
03.02.2024 Gillingham Gillingham 1-1 HT 0-0 Walsall Walsall İN2
14.10.2023 Walsall Walsall 4-1 HT 2-0 Gillingham Gillingham İN2
18.03.2023 Walsall Walsall 2-0 HT 0-0 Gillingham Gillingham İN2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Walsall
2-2
AWAY Gillingham
1.18 xG 2.22
59% Ball Possession 41%
9 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 3
254 Passes 152
68% Pass Accuracy 57%
17 Box Touches 18
24 Crosses 12
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Walsall vs Gillingham
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Walsall and Gillingham couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Walsall at 48%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (61%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Walsall had 59% of the ball to Gillingham's 41%, shots finished 9-12, expected goals 1.18 to 2.22.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Walsall had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Walsall and 0.67 for Gillingham.

What was the final score of Walsall vs Gillingham?

Walsall 2-2 Gillingham in the England - 2nd Division on 03/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Walsall vs Gillingham?

Before kick-off our model rated a Walsall win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Walsall 48%, draw 29%, Gillingham 24%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Walsall) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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