Grimsby Town vs Harrogate Town Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Grimsby Town v Harrogate Town — Team-Based Signals
Grimsby Town vs Harrogate Town Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-2
HT 0-1
Harrogate Town
İN2
0-0
HT 0-0
Harrogate Town
İN2
Grimsby Town 1-3 Harrogate Town — Actual Match Statistics
Harrogate Town beat Grimsby Town 3-1 away from home. Half-time: 1-2.
By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Grimsby Town at 59% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.
On the day, Grimsby Town had 69% of the ball to Harrogate Town's 31%, shots finished 18-6, expected goals 1.86 to 0.50 — the balance of chances actually favoured Grimsby Town.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Harrogate Town led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Grimsby Town and 1.50 for Harrogate Town.
What was the final score of Grimsby Town vs Harrogate Town?
Grimsby Town 1-3 Harrogate Town in the England - 2nd Division on 03/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Grimsby Town vs Harrogate Town?
Before kick-off our model rated a Grimsby Town win the most likely single outcome at about 59%, with the full match-result split Grimsby Town 59%, draw 18%, Harrogate Town 22%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Grimsby Town) went the other way.