Spalding United 3-1 Stourbridge — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Non League Premier, 3 Apr 2026

📅03/04/2026 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
72%
1.37
Draw
11%
4.62
Away
17%
6.38
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
35%
Over 2.5
65%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.81
No
46%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
29%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
39%
1/2
4%
1/X
4%
X/1
22%
X/2
5%
X/X
4%
2/1
10%
2/2
8%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
72%
Home Win
69%
+2.9pp
11%
Draw
19%
-7.1pp
17%
Away Win
13%
+4.1pp
54%
BTTS Yes
51%
+3.2pp
46%
BTTS No
49%
-3.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Spalding United EU Bookmakers 73%
Head to Head
AWAY Stourbridge EU Bookmakers 16%
-3% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +16% / +16%
2.67/1.07 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.48/1.61
+17% / +0% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +40% / +38%
54% Ball Possession 46%
15 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
365 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 253 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.0 Yellow Cards 3.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Spalding United
3W-0D-0L
AWAY Stourbridge
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.33
23.08.2025 Stourbridge Stourbridge 0-1 HT 0-0 Spalding United Spalding United İNGNLP
01.03.2025 Stourbridge Stourbridge 0-1 HT 0-0 Spalding United Spalding United İNGNLP
14.01.2025 Spalding United Spalding United 2-1 HT 0-1 Stourbridge Stourbridge İNGNLP
POST-MATCH Spalding United vs Stourbridge
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Spalding United beat Stourbridge 3-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Spalding United as the likeliest winner at 72%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (65%), and that read landed as well.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Spalding United had the better of it with 3 wins. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Spalding United and 0.33 for Stourbridge.

What was the final score of Spalding United vs Stourbridge?

Spalding United 3-1 Stourbridge in the England - Non League Premier on 03/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Spalding United vs Stourbridge?

Before kick-off our model rated a Spalding United win the most likely single outcome at about 72%, with the full match-result split Spalding United 72%, draw 11%, Stourbridge 17%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Spalding United), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Spalding United) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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