Stourbridge 0-1 Spalding United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Non League Premier, 23 Aug 2025

📅23/08/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.27
Draw
21%
3.45
Away
37%
2.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.97
Over 2.5
47%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.63
No
48%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
6%
1/X
5%
X/1
13%
X/2
16%
X/X
11%
2/1
7%
2/2
15%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
40%
+1.5pp
21%
Draw
26%
-4.5pp
37%
Away Win
34%
+3.0pp
53%
Under 2.5
47%
+6.6pp
47%
Over 2.5
53%
-6.6pp
52%
BTTS Yes
57%
-5.1pp
48%
BTTS No
43%
+5.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Stourbridge EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Spalding United EU Bookmakers 38%
-12% / -20% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -18% / -18%
1.18/1.20 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.80/1.60
-23% / +10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +29% / -10%
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
270 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 343 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.2 Yellow Cards 1.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Stourbridge
0W-0D-2L
AWAY Spalding United
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
01.03.2025 Stourbridge Stourbridge 0-1 HT 0-0 Spalding United Spalding United İNGNLP
14.01.2025 Spalding United Spalding United 2-1 HT 0-1 Stourbridge Stourbridge İNGNLP
POST-MATCH Stourbridge vs Spalding United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Spalding United nicked a narrow win over Stourbridge 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 42% / 21% / 37% — and on the day Spalding United made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Spalding United led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Stourbridge and 1.50 for Spalding United.

What was the final score of Stourbridge vs Spalding United?

Stourbridge 0-1 Spalding United in the England - Non League Premier on 23/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Stourbridge vs Spalding United?

Before kick-off our model rated a Stourbridge win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Stourbridge 42%, draw 21%, Spalding United 37%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Stourbridge), BTTS Yes went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Stourbridge) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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