Barwell 1-2 Alvechurch — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Non League Premier, 23 Aug 2025

📅23/08/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
31%
2.67
Draw
25%
3.64
Away
44%
2.16
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.9
Over 2.5
46%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.73
No
49%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
10%
1/X
5%
X/1
9%
X/2
20%
X/X
10%
2/1
7%
2/2
14%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
31%
Home Win
34%
-2.7pp
25%
Draw
24%
+0.6pp
44%
Away Win
42%
+2.1pp
54%
Under 2.5
49%
+5.7pp
46%
Over 2.5
51%
-5.7pp
51%
BTTS Yes
54%
-2.3pp
49%
BTTS No
46%
+2.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Barwell EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Alvechurch EU Bookmakers 46%
-2% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -9% / -9%
1.69/2.04 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.25/0.86
+18% / -32% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -22% / +58%
45% Ball Possession 55%
9 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
0 · 0% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 0 · 0%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.6 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Barwell
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Alvechurch
2.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.50
43% Ball Possession 57%
7 Total Shots 11
2 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 1
18.01.2025 Alvechurch Alvechurch 3-2 HT 2-2 Barwell Barwell İNGNLP
09.11.2024 Barwell Barwell 5-3 HT 1-2 Alvechurch Alvechurch İNGNLP
06.01.2024 Barwell Barwell 2-2 HT 2-1 Alvechurch Alvechurch İNGNLP
12.09.2023 Alvechurch Alvechurch 4-4 HT 4-0 Barwell Barwell İNGNLP
21.03.2023 Alvechurch Alvechurch 2-1 HT 1-1 Barwell Barwell İNGNLP
27.08.2022 Barwell Barwell 1-1 HT 1-0 Alvechurch Alvechurch İNGNLP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Barwell
1-2
AWAY Alvechurch
59% Ball Possession 41%
3 Total Shots 9
2 Shots on Target 2
1 Corners 3
4 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Barwell vs Alvechurch
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Alvechurch nicked a narrow win over Barwell 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Alvechurch as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Barwell had 59% of the ball to Alvechurch's 41%, shots finished 3-9.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Alvechurch led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 2.50 goals for Barwell and 2.50 for Alvechurch.

What was the final score of Barwell vs Alvechurch?

Barwell 1-2 Alvechurch in the England - Non League Premier on 23/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Barwell vs Alvechurch?

Before kick-off our model rated an Alvechurch win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Barwell 31%, draw 25%, Alvechurch 44%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Alvechurch), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Alvechurch) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
İNGNLP More England - Non League Premier
23 Aug 2025
00:00 Stratford Town vs Bishops Stortford Analysis →
17:00 Royston Town vs Banbury United Analysis →
17:00 Real Bedford vs Kettering Town Analysis →
17:00 Leiston vs Redditch United Analysis →
17:00 Worcester City vs Bury Town Analysis →
17:00 Harborough Town vs St Ives Town Analysis →