St Ives Town 1-2 Harborough Town — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Non League Premier, 3 Apr 2026

📅03/04/2026 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 0-3
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
13%
5.91
Draw
18%
4.49
Away
69%
1.4
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
2.23
Over 2.5
57%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.81
No
51%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
7%
1/2
9%
1/X
8%
X/1
3%
X/2
23%
X/X
7%
2/1
3%
2/2
37%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
13%
Home Win
14%
-0.7pp
18%
Draw
19%
-1.0pp
69%
Away Win
67%
+1.7pp
43%
Under 2.5
41%
+1.8pp
57%
Over 2.5
59%
-1.8pp
49%
BTTS Yes
51%
-2.4pp
51%
BTTS No
49%
+2.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME St Ives Town EU Bookmakers 17%
Head to Head
AWAY Harborough Town EU Bookmakers 71%
+19% / +19% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +1%
1.50/1.63 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.02/0.71
+38% / +12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -4% / +38%
42% Ball Possession 58%
8 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
238 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 485 · 85%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.5 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME St Ives Town
2W-0D-1L
AWAY Harborough Town
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
23.08.2025 Harborough Town Harborough Town 2-0 HT 1-0 St Ives Town St Ives Town İNGNLP
12.04.2025 Harborough Town Harborough Town 1-2 HT 0-1 St Ives Town St Ives Town İNGNLP
14.12.2024 St Ives Town St Ives Town 4-1 HT 1-0 Harborough Town Harborough Town İNGNLP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME St Ives Town
1-2
AWAY Harborough Town
48% Ball Possession 52%
7 Total Shots 15
3 Shots on Target 9
3 Corners 10
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH St Ives Town vs Harborough Town
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Harborough Town edged past St Ives Town 2-1 away from home. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Harborough Town as the likeliest winner at 69%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (57%) came in.

On the day, St Ives Town had 48% of the ball to Harborough Town's 52%, shots finished 7-15.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, St Ives Town had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for St Ives Town and 1.33 for Harborough Town.

What was the final score of St Ives Town vs Harborough Town?

St Ives Town 1-2 Harborough Town in the England - Non League Premier on 03/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for St Ives Town vs Harborough Town?

Before kick-off our model rated an Harborough Town win the most likely single outcome at about 69%, with the full match-result split St Ives Town 13%, draw 18%, Harborough Town 69%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Harborough Town), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Harborough Town) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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