Stockton Town vs Gainsborough Trinity Prediction — Model Probabilities
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Stockton Town v Gainsborough Trinity — Team-Based Signals
Stockton Town vs Gainsborough Trinity Head-to-Head — Last 3 Meetings
Stockton Town 1-0 Gainsborough Trinity — Actual Match Statistics
Stockton Town edged past Gainsborough Trinity 1-0.
As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Stockton Town as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.
On the day, Stockton Town had 58% of the ball to Gainsborough Trinity's 42%, shots finished 16-4.
For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Gainsborough Trinity led the recent series with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Stockton Town and 2.00 for Gainsborough Trinity.
What was the final score of Stockton Town vs Gainsborough Trinity?
Stockton Town 1-0 Gainsborough Trinity in the England - Non League Premier on 03/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Stockton Town vs Gainsborough Trinity?
Before kick-off our model rated a Stockton Town win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Stockton Town 49%, draw 25%, Gainsborough Trinity 27%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Stockton Town) — while BTTS Yes went the other way.