Stockton Town 2-3 Gainsborough Trinity — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Non League Premier, 25 Jan 2025

📅25/01/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
1.82
Draw
27%
3.64
Away
24%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
1.95
Over 2.5
56%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
59%
1.73
No
41%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
27%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
6%
1/X
9%
X/1
20%
X/2
6%
X/X
13%
2/1
11%
2/2
11%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
51%
-1.6pp
27%
Draw
24%
+3.3pp
23%
Away Win
25%
-1.7pp
44%
Under 2.5
48%
-4.0pp
56%
Over 2.5
52%
+4.0pp
59%
BTTS Yes
54%
+5.7pp
41%
BTTS No
46%
-5.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Stockton Town EU Bookmakers 55%
Head to Head
AWAY Gainsborough Trinity EU Bookmakers 29%
+24% / +24% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +3%
1.76/0.58 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.29/1.44
+1% / +113% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -2% / +14%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
356 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 303 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Stockton Town
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Gainsborough Trinity
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
46% Ball Possession 54%
8 Total Shots 7
4 Shots on Target 4
0 Corners 5
1 Yellow Cards 3
21.09.2024 Gainsborough Trinity Gainsborough Trinity 1-1 HT 1-0 Stockton Town İNGNLP
POST-MATCH Stockton Town vs Gainsborough Trinity
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Gainsborough Trinity squeezed past Stockton Town 3-2 away from home. Half-time: 1-2. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Stockton Town at 49%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (56%), both teams to score (59%), and both reads landed as well.

What was the final score of Stockton Town vs Gainsborough Trinity?

Stockton Town 2-3 Gainsborough Trinity in the England - Non League Premier on 25/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Stockton Town vs Gainsborough Trinity?

Before kick-off our model rated a Stockton Town win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Stockton Town 49%, draw 27%, Gainsborough Trinity 23%. The final score 2-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Stockton Town) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Stockton Town) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
İNGNLP More England - Non League Premier
25 Jan 2025
18:00 Prescot Cables vs Ashton United Analysis →
18:00 Stamford vs AFC Sudbury Analysis →
18:00 Stratford Town vs Halesowen Town Analysis →
18:00 Alvechurch vs AFC Telford United Analysis →
18:00 Spalding United vs Royston Town Analysis →
18:00 Redditch United vs Barwell Analysis →