Adelaide United (K) 0-2 Wellington Phoenix (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Australia - W-League, 3 Apr 2026

Adelaide United (K)
0-2 HT 0-2
Wellington Phoenix (K)
📅03/04/2026 · 🕒08:50 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 2-2 ✗
Australia - W-League – 2025/2026

Adelaide United (K) vs Wellington Phoenix (K) Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
28%
3.17
Draw
27%
3.64
Away
45%
1.91
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
2.18
Over 2.5
51%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.56
No
47%
2.27
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
32%
4-5 Goals
28%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
6%
X/2
20%
X/X
15%
2/1
8%
2/2
20%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
28%
Home Win
28%
+0.4pp
27%
Draw
24%
+3.1pp
45%
Away Win
48%
-3.6pp
49%
Under 2.5
42%
+6.6pp
51%
Over 2.5
58%
-6.6pp
53%
BTTS Yes
60%
-7.0pp
47%
BTTS No
40%
+7.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Adelaide United (K) v Wellington Phoenix (K) — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Adelaide United (K) EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Wellington Phoenix (K) EU Bookmakers 52%
+37% / +37% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -15% / -15%
1.30/1.68 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.68/0.81
+40% / +43% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +60% / -20%
46% Ball Possession 54%
13 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
306 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 367 · 79%
12.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 25.3
16.8 Crosses 23.4
2.5 Yellow Cards 1.5

Adelaide United (K) vs Wellington Phoenix (K) Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Adelaide United (K)
3W-0D-3L
AWAY Wellington Phoenix (K)
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
1.41 xG 1.38
54% Ball Possession 46%
15 Total Shots 14
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
315 Passes 237
72% Pass Accuracy 66%
20 Box Touches 19
16 Crosses 17
1 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
25.01.2026 Wellington Phoenix (K) Wellington Phoenix (K) 3-1 HT 2-0 Adelaide United (K) Adelaide United (K) AVUSTW
02.03.2025 Wellington Phoenix (K) Wellington Phoenix (K) 1-3 HT 1-1 Adelaide United (K) Adelaide United (K) AVUSTW
12.01.2025 Adelaide United (K) Adelaide United (K) 2-1 HT 2-0 Wellington Phoenix (K) Wellington Phoenix (K) AVUSTW
22.11.2024 Adelaide United (K) Adelaide United (K) 0-1 HT 0-1 Wellington Phoenix (K) Wellington Phoenix (K) AVUSTW
20.03.2024 Wellington Phoenix (K) Wellington Phoenix (K) 4-0 HT 1-0 Adelaide United (K) Adelaide United (K) AVUSTW
16.12.2023 Adelaide United (K) Adelaide United (K) 2-1 HT 0-1 Wellington Phoenix (K) Wellington Phoenix (K) AVUSTW

Adelaide United (K) 0-2 Wellington Phoenix (K) — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Adelaide United (K)
0-2
AWAY Wellington Phoenix (K)
0.45 xG 0.79
56% Ball Possession 44%
7 Total Shots 13
2 Shots on Target 5
7 Corners 5
310 Passes 234
72% Pass Accuracy 71%
8 Box Touches 17
15 Crosses 16
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Adelaide United (K) vs Wellington Phoenix (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Wellington Phoenix (K) beat Adelaide United (K) 2-0 away from home.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Wellington Phoenix (K) as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Adelaide United (K) had 56% of the ball to Wellington Phoenix (K)'s 44%, shots finished 7-13, expected goals 0.45 to 0.79.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Adelaide United (K) and 1.83 for Wellington Phoenix (K).

What was the final score of Adelaide United (K) vs Wellington Phoenix (K)?

Adelaide United (K) 0-2 Wellington Phoenix (K) in the Australia - W-League on 03/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Adelaide United (K) vs Wellington Phoenix (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated an Wellington Phoenix (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Adelaide United (K) 28%, draw 27%, Wellington Phoenix (K) 45%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Wellington Phoenix (K)) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Wellington Phoenix (K)) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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