Perth Glory (K) vs Melbourne Victory (K) Prediction — Model Probabilities
Perth Glory (K) v Melbourne Victory (K) — Team-Based Signals
Perth Glory (K) vs Melbourne Victory (K) Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
Perth Glory (K) 0-1 Melbourne Victory (K) — Actual Match Statistics
Melbourne Victory (K) edged past Perth Glory (K) 1-0 on their travels.
Just as the model leaned, our model had Melbourne Victory (K) as the likeliest winner at 52%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.
Neither goals market gave much away — over 2.5 sat at 53% and both teams to score at 54%.
The match data tells the story: Perth Glory (K) had 64% of the ball to Melbourne Victory (K)'s 36%, shots finished 8-6, expected goals 0.45 to 0.88.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Melbourne Victory (K) led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Perth Glory (K) and 1.67 for Melbourne Victory (K).
Perth Glory (K) vs Melbourne Victory (K) Result & Final Score
Perth Glory (K) 0 - 1 Melbourne Victory (K) in the Australia - W-League on 03/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
Perth Glory (K) vs Melbourne Victory (K) Prediction vs Result
Before kick-off our model rated an Melbourne Victory (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Perth Glory (K) 24%, draw 24%, Melbourne Victory (K) 52%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Melbourne Victory (K)) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.