Perth Glory (K) 0-1 Melbourne Victory (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Australia - W-League, 3 Apr 2026

Perth Glory (K)
0-1 HT 0-1
Melbourne Victory (K)
📅03/04/2026 · 🕒11:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 ✓ 2nd Score 1-1 ✗
Australia - W-League – 2025/2026

Perth Glory (K) vs Melbourne Victory (K) Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
30%
3.5
Draw
23%
3.64
Away
47%
1.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
2.0
Over 2.5
47%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.7
No
50%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
7%
1/X
8%
X/1
10%
X/2
16%
X/X
9%
2/1
5%
2/2
24%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
30%
Home Win
25%
+5.2pp
23%
Draw
24%
-1.0pp
46%
Away Win
51%
-4.2pp
53%
Under 2.5
46%
+6.8pp
47%
Over 2.5
54%
-6.8pp
50%
BTTS Yes
55%
-5.3pp
50%
BTTS No
45%
+5.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Perth Glory (K) v Melbourne Victory (K) — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Perth Glory (K) EU Bookmakers 29%
Head to Head
AWAY Melbourne Victory (K) EU Bookmakers 55%
+21% / +21% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -14% / -14%
1.19/1.10 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.54/0.94
+28% / +47% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +0% / -35%
45% Ball Possession 55%
12 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
256 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 332 · 76%
12.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 24.0
12.9 Crosses 20.2
1.3 Yellow Cards 1.3

Perth Glory (K) vs Melbourne Victory (K) Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Perth Glory (K)
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Melbourne Victory (K)
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
1.11 xG 1.36
46% Ball Possession 54%
12 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 3
285 Passes 344
74% Pass Accuracy 76%
20 Box Touches 22
15 Crosses 22
1 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
30.11.2025 Melbourne Victory (K) Melbourne Victory (K) 3-0 HT 3-0 Perth Glory (K) Perth Glory (K) AVUSTW
18.01.2025 Melbourne Victory (K) Melbourne Victory (K) 1-0 HT 1-0 Perth Glory (K) Perth Glory (K) AVUSTW
08.12.2024 Perth Glory (K) Perth Glory (K) 0-1 HT 0-0 Melbourne Victory (K) Melbourne Victory (K) AVUSTW
12.01.2024 Melbourne Victory (K) Melbourne Victory (K) 1-1 HT 1-0 Perth Glory (K) Perth Glory (K) AVUSTW
28.12.2019 Perth Glory (K) Perth Glory (K) 1-2 HT 0-1 Melbourne Victory (K) Melbourne Victory (K) AVUSTW
10.02.2019 Melbourne Victory (K) Melbourne Victory (K) 2-4 HT 1-0 Perth Glory (K) Perth Glory (K) AVUSTW

Perth Glory (K) 0-1 Melbourne Victory (K) — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Perth Glory (K)
0-1
AWAY Melbourne Victory (K)
0.45 xG 0.88
64% Ball Possession 36%
8 Total Shots 6
1 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 3
401 Passes 184
79% Pass Accuracy 66%
17 Box Touches 12
20 Crosses 14
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Perth Glory (K) vs Melbourne Victory (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Melbourne Victory (K) edged past Perth Glory (K) 1-0 away from home.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Melbourne Victory (K) as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Perth Glory (K) had 64% of the ball to Melbourne Victory (K)'s 36%, shots finished 8-6, expected goals 0.45 to 0.88.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Melbourne Victory (K) led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Perth Glory (K) and 1.67 for Melbourne Victory (K).

What was the final score of Perth Glory (K) vs Melbourne Victory (K)?

Perth Glory (K) 0-1 Melbourne Victory (K) in the Australia - W-League on 03/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Perth Glory (K) vs Melbourne Victory (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated an Melbourne Victory (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Perth Glory (K) 30%, draw 23%, Melbourne Victory (K) 46%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Melbourne Victory (K)), Under 2.5 — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Melbourne Victory (K)) ✓ Under 2.5
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3 Apr 2026
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