MVV Maastricht vs RKC Waalwijk Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
MVV Maastricht v RKC Waalwijk — Team-Based Signals
MVV Maastricht vs RKC Waalwijk Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-4
HT 0-1
RKC Waalwijk
HOL2
3-1
HT 1-0
MVV Maastricht
HOL2
1-1
HT 0-0
MVV Maastricht
HOL2
0-0
HT 0-0
RKC Waalwijk
HOL2
1-1
HT 1-1
RKC Waalwijk
HOL2
MVV Maastricht 1-3 RKC Waalwijk — Actual Match Statistics
RKC Waalwijk got the better of MVV Maastricht 3-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.
Just as the model leaned, our model had RKC Waalwijk as the likeliest winner at 56%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (64%), both teams to score (58%) came in.
On the day, MVV Maastricht had 45% of the ball to RKC Waalwijk's 55%, shots finished 15-23, expected goals 1.11 to 2.04.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, RKC Waalwijk led the recent series with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for MVV Maastricht and 1.67 for RKC Waalwijk.
What was the final score of MVV Maastricht vs RKC Waalwijk?
MVV Maastricht 1-3 RKC Waalwijk in the Netherlands - Eerste Divisie on 03/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for MVV Maastricht vs RKC Waalwijk?
Before kick-off our model rated an RKC Waalwijk win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split MVV Maastricht 26%, draw 17%, RKC Waalwijk 56%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (RKC Waalwijk), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.