RKC Waalwijk 1-0 MVV Maastricht — Maç Sonucu, İstatistikler ve Maç Analizi — Netherlands - Eerste Divisie, 25 Nov 2025

RKC Waalwijk Elo 1489 · World #1567 (clubs) WWDLD→
1 - 0 HT 1 - 0
MVV Maastricht Elo 1336 · World #2652 (clubs) DLLLL→
📅25/11/2025 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✗ 2nd Score 3-1 ✗
Netherlands - Eerste Divisie – 2025/2026

RKC Waalwijk vs MVV Maastricht Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off. · updated 04:00
Match Result
HomeVIEW
75%
1.3
Draw
14%
5.0
Away
11%
6.93
Under/Over 2.5
Under
27%
2.67
Over
73%
1.42
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.68
No
44%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1
12%
6.2
2-3
37%
2.09
4-5
34%
2.44
6+
17%
4.97
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
52%
1.53
1/2
1%
35.0
1/X
3%
19.25
X/1
19%
4.1
X/2
4%
17.5
X/X
8%
8.99
2/1
4%
19.0
2/2
6%
13.25
2/X
3%
21.8
NO PICK no pattern fills on this match today.
VIEW our model view: the outcome it rates most likely. A forecast, not a pick.

RKC Waalwijk v MVV Maastricht — Team-Based Signals

SIGNALS Team Signals — the why behind the numbers
iddaakolik predictions — not real match figures
HOME RKC Waalwijk The Market 77%
Signal
AWAY MVV Maastricht The Market 14%
Bad Team Performanceagainst Market Expectation Strong
2.57 xG Scorediddaakolik model prediction 0.82
0.96 xG Concedediddaakolik model prediction 2.81
Weak Attack Strength Weak
Weak Defense Strength Average
56% Ball Possession 44%
19 Total Shots 9
8 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
404 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 281 · 76%
23 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14
19 Crosses 13
2 Yellow Cards 2

RKC Waalwijk vs MVV Maastricht Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME RKC Waalwijk
3W-3D-0L
AWAY MVV Maastricht
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
56% Ball Possession 44%
13 Total Shots 16
5 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 4
425 Passes 222
77% Pass Accuracy 69%
22 Box Touches 19
25 Crosses 18
1 Yellow Cards 0
The Meetings
15.03.2019 MVV Maastricht MVV Maastricht 1-4 HT 0-1 RKC Waalwijk RKC Waalwijk HOL2
07.12.2018 RKC Waalwijk RKC Waalwijk 3-1 HT 1-0 MVV Maastricht MVV Maastricht HOL2
16.03.2018 RKC Waalwijk RKC Waalwijk 1-1 HT 0-0 MVV Maastricht MVV Maastricht HOL2
03.11.2017 MVV Maastricht MVV Maastricht 0-0 HT 0-0 RKC Waalwijk RKC Waalwijk HOL2
05.05.2017 MVV Maastricht MVV Maastricht 1-1 HT 1-1 RKC Waalwijk RKC Waalwijk HOL2
02.12.2016 RKC Waalwijk RKC Waalwijk 2-0 HT 0-0 MVV Maastricht MVV Maastricht HOL2

RKC Waalwijk 1-0 MVV Maastricht — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME RKC Waalwijk
1 - 0
AWAY MVV Maastricht
2.05 xG 0.67
55% Ball Possession 45%
17 Total Shots 10
7 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 2
470 Passes 360
87% Pass Accuracy 81%
34 Box Touches 23
23 Crosses 19
2 Yellow Cards 2
REVIEW RKC Waalwijk vs MVV Maastricht
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

RKC Waalwijk edged past MVV Maastricht 1-0.

True to our pre-match read, our model had RKC Waalwijk as the likeliest winner at 75%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (73%), both teams to score (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, possession split 55% to 45% in RKC Waalwijk's favour, shots finished 17-10, expected goals 2.05 to 0.67 — on chances created, RKC Waalwijk won this by more than the scoreboard admits.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, RKC Waalwijk had the better of it with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Scoring in those meetings ran 1.83 a game for RKC Waalwijk against 0.67 for MVV Maastricht.

RKC Waalwijk vs MVV Maastricht Result & Final Score

RKC Waalwijk 1 - 0 MVV Maastricht in the Netherlands - Eerste Divisie on 25/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

RKC Waalwijk vs MVV Maastricht Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated a RKC Waalwijk win the most likely single outcome at about 75%, with the full match-result split RKC Waalwijk 75%, draw 14%, MVV Maastricht 11%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (RKC Waalwijk) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (RKC Waalwijk) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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