ADO Den Haag vs De Graafschap Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
ADO Den Haag v De Graafschap — Team-Based Signals
ADO Den Haag vs De Graafschap Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
0-0
HT 0-0
ADO Den Haag
HOL2
ADO Den Haag 3-2 De Graafschap — Actual Match Statistics
ADO Den Haag nicked a narrow win over De Graafschap 3-2. It was 1-2 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
Just as the model leaned, our model had ADO Den Haag as the likeliest winner at 58%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (62%), both teams to score (61%) came in.
On the day, ADO Den Haag had 63% of the ball to De Graafschap's 37%, shots finished 21-14, expected goals 1.70 to 3.26 — the balance of chances actually favoured De Graafschap.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, ADO Den Haag had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.17 goals for ADO Den Haag and 1.67 for De Graafschap.
What was the final score of ADO Den Haag vs De Graafschap?
ADO Den Haag 3-2 De Graafschap in the Netherlands - Eerste Divisie on 25/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for ADO Den Haag vs De Graafschap?
Before kick-off our model rated a ADO Den Haag win the most likely single outcome at about 58%, with the full match-result split ADO Den Haag 58%, draw 23%, De Graafschap 19%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (ADO Den Haag), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.