ADO Den Haag vs De Graafschap Prediction — Model Probabilities
ADO Den Haag v De Graafschap — Team-Based Signals
ADO Den Haag vs De Graafschap Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
ADO Den Haag 3-2 De Graafschap — Actual Match Statistics
ADO Den Haag nicked a narrow win over De Graafschap 3-2. It was 1-2 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
Just as the model leaned, our model had ADO Den Haag as the likeliest winner at 64%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (78%), both teams to score (67%) came in.
The match data tells the story: ADO Den Haag had 63% of the ball to De Graafschap's 37%, shots finished 21-14, expected goals 1.70 to 3.26 — by the quality of chances, De Graafschap deserved more.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, ADO Den Haag had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.17 goals for ADO Den Haag and 1.67 for De Graafschap.
ADO Den Haag vs De Graafschap Result & Final Score
ADO Den Haag 3 - 2 De Graafschap in the Netherlands - Eerste Divisie on 25/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
ADO Den Haag vs De Graafschap Prediction vs Result
Before kick-off our model rated a ADO Den Haag win the most likely single outcome at about 64%, with the full match-result split ADO Den Haag 64%, draw 19%, De Graafschap 17%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (ADO Den Haag), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.