Roda 1-2 Dordrecht — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Netherlands - Eerste Divisie, 25 Nov 2025

📅25/11/2025 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
53%
1.8
Draw
26%
3.72
Away
21%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
42%
2.23
Over 2.5
58%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
60%
1.56
No
40%
2.27
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
4.36
2-3 Goals
40%
1.87
4-5 Goals
26%
2.79
6+ Goals
13%
7.85
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
30%
2.37
1/2
7%
35.0
1/X
6%
13.3
X/1
10%
4.69
X/2
7%
8.66
X/X
12%
5.83
2/1 EV+ ✗
13%
21.05
2/2
8%
6.08
2/X
7%
14.35
Value flag · 2/1 at 21.05 — our 13% vs market 2.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
53%
Home Win
52%
+0.9pp
26%
Draw
24%
+2.0pp
21%
Away Win
24%
-3.0pp
42%
Under 2.5
41%
+1.2pp
58%
Over 2.5
59%
-1.2pp
60%
BTTS Yes
60%
-0.4pp
40%
BTTS No
40%
+0.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Roda EU Bookmakers 56%
Head to Head
AWAY Dordrecht EU Bookmakers 28%
-6% / -15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +7%
1.60/1.15 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.14/1.68
-6% / -11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -4% / -9%
56% Ball Possession 44%
16 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
359 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 279 · 74%
24.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.5
19.2 Crosses 17.3
1.5 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Roda
3W-0D-3L
AWAY Dordrecht
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.69 xG 1.24
53% Ball Possession 47%
19 Total Shots 12
7 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
342 Passes 296
78% Pass Accuracy 76%
31 Box Touches 18
22 Crosses 14
1 Yellow Cards 2
14.02.2025 Dordrecht Dordrecht 2-1 HT 1-0 Roda Roda HOL2
13.12.2024 Roda Roda 0-1 HT 0-1 Dordrecht Dordrecht HOL2
09.02.2024 Roda Roda 4-1 HT 1-0 Dordrecht Dordrecht HOL2
01.12.2023 Dordrecht Dordrecht 2-0 HT 1-0 Roda Roda HOL2
27.01.2023 Roda Roda 1-0 HT 0-0 Dordrecht Dordrecht HOL2
05.08.2022 Dordrecht Dordrecht 0-2 HT 0-2 Roda Roda HOL2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Roda
1-2
AWAY Dordrecht
1.90 xG 1.47
61% Ball Possession 39%
17 Total Shots 9
7 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 4
444 Passes 253
84% Pass Accuracy 76%
26 Crosses 16
1 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Roda vs Dordrecht
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Dordrecht squeezed past Roda 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Roda at 53%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (58%), both teams to score (60%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Roda had 61% of the ball to Dordrecht's 39%, shots finished 17-9, expected goals 1.90 to 1.47 — on chances, Roda could feel hard done by.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Roda and 1.00 for Dordrecht.

What was the final score of Roda vs Dordrecht?

Roda 1-2 Dordrecht in the Netherlands - Eerste Divisie on 25/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Roda vs Dordrecht?

Before kick-off our model rated a Roda win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Roda 53%, draw 26%, Dordrecht 21%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Roda) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Roda) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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