Dordrecht 2-1 Roda — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Netherlands - Eerste Divisie, 14 Feb 2025

📅14/02/2025 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.12
Draw
26%
3.54
Away
35%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
2.38
Over 2.5
57%
1.52
Both Teams to Score
Yes
59%
1.46
No
41%
2.51
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
4.74
2-3 Goals
37%
1.9
4-5 Goals
27%
2.63
6+ Goals
15%
6.7
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
3.01
1/2
8%
26.0
1/X
5%
12.1
X/1
14%
5.51
X/2
12%
6.79
X/X
10%
5.66
2/1
9%
22.1
2/2
15%
4.16
2/X
10%
12.45
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
43%
-3.7pp
26%
Draw
25%
+1.1pp
35%
Away Win
32%
+2.7pp
43%
Under 2.5
38%
+4.6pp
57%
Over 2.5
62%
-4.6pp
59%
BTTS Yes
64%
-5.6pp
41%
BTTS No
36%
+5.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Dordrecht EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY Roda EU Bookmakers 36%
-4% / +9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / +6%
1.40/1.06 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.35/1.48
+14% / -12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -15% / +15%
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
342 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 328 · 76%
24.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 22.3
20.0 Crosses 17.8
1.4 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Dordrecht
2W-0D-4L
AWAY Roda
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
1.02 xG 1.71
46% Ball Possession 54%
11 Total Shots 19
4 Shots on Target 7
3 Corners 6
302 Passes 362
78% Pass Accuracy 80%
17 Box Touches 31
12 Crosses 22
2 Yellow Cards 1
13.12.2024 Roda Roda 0-1 HT 0-1 Dordrecht Dordrecht HOL2
09.02.2024 Roda Roda 4-1 HT 1-0 Dordrecht Dordrecht HOL2
01.12.2023 Dordrecht Dordrecht 2-0 HT 1-0 Roda Roda HOL2
27.01.2023 Roda Roda 1-0 HT 0-0 Dordrecht Dordrecht HOL2
05.08.2022 Dordrecht Dordrecht 0-2 HT 0-2 Roda Roda HOL2
04.03.2022 Roda Roda 4-0 HT 2-0 Dordrecht Dordrecht HOL2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Dordrecht
2-1
AWAY Roda
1.41 xG 2.07
47% Ball Possession 53%
8 Total Shots 20
3 Shots on Target 6
0 Corners 8
234 Passes 281
67% Pass Accuracy 74%
12 Box Touches 41
13 Crosses 28
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Dordrecht vs Roda
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Dordrecht squeezed past Roda 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 39% / 26% / 35% — and on the day Dordrecht made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (57%), both teams to score (59%) came in.

On the day, Dordrecht had 47% of the ball to Roda's 53%, shots finished 8-20, expected goals 1.41 to 2.07 — the balance of chances actually favoured Roda.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Roda led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Dordrecht and 1.83 for Roda.

What was the final score of Dordrecht vs Roda?

Dordrecht 2-1 Roda in the Netherlands - Eerste Divisie on 14/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Dordrecht vs Roda?

Before kick-off our model rated a Dordrecht win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Dordrecht 39%, draw 26%, Roda 35%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Dordrecht), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Dordrecht) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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