Den Bosch 0-1 Telstar — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Netherlands - Eerste Divisie, 14 Feb 2025

📅14/02/2025 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.38
Draw
28%
3.28
Away
35%
2.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.8
Over 2.5
43%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.73
No
56%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
34%
2.98
2-3 Goals
36%
1.73
4-5 Goals
20%
3.51
6+ Goals
10%
14.55
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.98 — our 34% vs market 26.4%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
3.63
1/2
8%
29.5
1/X
5%
13.25
X/1
10%
5.43
X/2
11%
5.74
X/X
17%
4.57
2/1
7%
28.0
2/2
16%
3.96
2/X
6%
13.4
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
38%
-0.9pp
28%
Draw
27%
+0.6pp
35%
Away Win
35%
+0.3pp
57%
Under 2.5
52%
+5.2pp
43%
Over 2.5
48%
-5.2pp
44%
BTTS Yes
54%
-10.2pp
56%
BTTS No
46%
+10.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Den Bosch EU Bookmakers 42%
Head to Head
AWAY Telstar EU Bookmakers 38%
-2% / -12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / -4%
1.34/1.37 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.31/1.18
+7% / -7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -6% / +0%
53% Ball Possession 47%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
369 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 299 · 75%
20.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.7
17.7 Crosses 20.1
1.8 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Den Bosch
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Telstar
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.08 xG 1.50
48% Ball Possession 52%
9 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 7
294 Passes 319
74% Pass Accuracy 77%
12 Box Touches 22
14 Crosses 23
1 Yellow Cards 1
28.09.2024 Telstar Telstar 0-0 HT 0-0 Den Bosch Den Bosch HOL2
26.01.2024 Telstar Telstar 0-0 HT 0-0 Den Bosch Den Bosch HOL2
17.11.2023 Den Bosch Den Bosch 1-4 HT 0-1 Telstar Telstar HOL2
28.04.2023 Den Bosch Den Bosch 0-1 HT 0-1 Telstar Telstar HOL2
11.12.2022 Telstar Telstar 1-0 HT 0-0 Den Bosch Den Bosch HOL2
01.04.2022 Telstar Telstar 1-2 HT 0-1 Den Bosch Den Bosch HOL2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Den Bosch
0-1
AWAY Telstar
0.58 xG 1.26
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
9 Corners 2
282 Passes 288
74% Pass Accuracy 75%
17 Box Touches 24
21 Crosses 11
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Den Bosch vs Telstar
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Telstar squeezed past Den Bosch 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (37% / 28% / 35%) promised a tight game; Telstar found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (57%), no to both teams scoring (56%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Den Bosch had 51% of the ball to Telstar's 49%, shots finished 11-13, expected goals 0.58 to 1.26.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Telstar led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Den Bosch and 1.17 for Telstar.

What was the final score of Den Bosch vs Telstar?

Den Bosch 0-1 Telstar in the Netherlands - Eerste Divisie on 14/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Den Bosch vs Telstar?

Before kick-off our model rated a Den Bosch win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Den Bosch 37%, draw 28%, Telstar 35%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Den Bosch) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Den Bosch) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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