MVV Maastricht 2-0 FC Eindhoven — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Netherlands - Eerste Divisie, 14 Feb 2025

MVV Maastricht
2-0 HT 2-0
FC Eindhoven
📅14/02/2025 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 ✗ 2nd Score 2-1 ✗
Netherlands - Eerste Divisie – 2024/2025

MVV Maastricht vs FC Eindhoven Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
2.19
Draw
21%
3.45
Away
36%
2.72
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
41%
2.15
Over 2.5
59%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.55
No
44%
2.29
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
3.96
2-3 Goals
35%
1.81
4-5 Goals EV+ ✗
30%
2.87
6+ Goals
14%
8.72
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 2.87 — our 30% vs market 27.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
3.18
1/2
8%
27.5
1/X
5%
12.4
X/1
15%
5.45
X/2
9%
6.44
X/X
9%
5.22
2/1 EV+ ✗
10%
23.85
2/2
20%
4.12
2/X
7%
12.65
Value flag · 2/1 at 23.85 — our 10% vs market 2.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
42%
+1.1pp
21%
Draw
25%
-4.7pp
37%
Away Win
33%
+3.6pp
41%
Under 2.5
43%
-1.7pp
59%
Over 2.5
57%
+1.7pp
56%
BTTS Yes
60%
-4.1pp
44%
BTTS No
40%
+4.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

MVV Maastricht v FC Eindhoven — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME MVV Maastricht EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY FC Eindhoven EU Bookmakers 37%
+6% / +24% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +17%
1.87/1.33 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.64/0.91
+55% / +11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +16% / +40%
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
358 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 320 · 77%
23.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.5
15.5 Crosses 19.4
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.0

MVV Maastricht vs FC Eindhoven Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME MVV Maastricht
2W-1D-3L
AWAY FC Eindhoven
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
0.94 xG 1.63
48% Ball Possession 52%
9 Total Shots 17
4 Shots on Target 7
5 Corners 5
322 Passes 361
75% Pass Accuracy 78%
15 Box Touches 28
15 Crosses 26
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
17.11.2024 FC Eindhoven FC Eindhoven 1-1 HT 0-0 MVV Maastricht MVV Maastricht HOL2
26.01.2024 FC Eindhoven FC Eindhoven 0-3 HT 0-0 MVV Maastricht MVV Maastricht HOL2
02.10.2023 MVV Maastricht MVV Maastricht 0-1 HT 0-0 FC Eindhoven FC Eindhoven HOL2
31.03.2023 MVV Maastricht MVV Maastricht 3-2 HT 2-1 FC Eindhoven FC Eindhoven HOL2
09.09.2022 FC Eindhoven FC Eindhoven 5-0 HT 2-0 MVV Maastricht MVV Maastricht HOL2
29.01.2022 FC Eindhoven FC Eindhoven 1-0 HT 0-0 MVV Maastricht MVV Maastricht HOL2

MVV Maastricht 2-0 FC Eindhoven — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME MVV Maastricht
2-0
AWAY FC Eindhoven
1.18 xG 0.62
53% Ball Possession 47%
9 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 2
2 Corners 4
442 Passes 390
85% Pass Accuracy 82%
31 Box Touches 17
21 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH MVV Maastricht vs FC Eindhoven
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

MVV Maastricht got the better of FC Eindhoven 2-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had MVV Maastricht as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (59%), both teams to score (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, MVV Maastricht had 53% of the ball to FC Eindhoven's 47%, shots finished 9-10, expected goals 1.18 to 0.62.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, FC Eindhoven led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for MVV Maastricht and 1.67 for FC Eindhoven.

What was the final score of MVV Maastricht vs FC Eindhoven?

MVV Maastricht 2-0 FC Eindhoven in the Netherlands - Eerste Divisie on 14/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for MVV Maastricht vs FC Eindhoven?

Before kick-off our model rated a MVV Maastricht win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split MVV Maastricht 43%, draw 21%, FC Eindhoven 37%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (MVV Maastricht) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (MVV Maastricht) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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