ADO Den Haag 1-0 Ajax II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Netherlands - Eerste Divisie, 14 Feb 2025

📅14/02/2025 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
53%
1.53
Draw
23%
4.19
Away
24%
4.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
2.59
Over 2.5
57%
1.45
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.55
No
46%
2.29
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
5.48
2-3 Goals
40%
1.99
4-5 Goals
27%
2.48
6+ Goals
13%
5.53
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1/2
5%
1/X
5%
X/1
13%
X/2
10%
X/X
11%
2/1
14%
2/2
9%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
53%
Home Win
61%
-7.6pp
23%
Draw
20%
+2.3pp
24%
Away Win
19%
+5.2pp
43%
Under 2.5
35%
+8.3pp
57%
Over 2.5
65%
-8.3pp
54%
BTTS Yes
60%
-6.6pp
46%
BTTS No
40%
+6.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME ADO Den Haag EU Bookmakers 65%
Head to Head
AWAY Ajax II EU Bookmakers 22%
-6% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +1%
1.66/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.59/1.84
-7% / +5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +23% / -16%
53% Ball Possession 47%
16 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
356 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 296 · 76%
27.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 23.0
23.5 Crosses 11.3
1.6 Yellow Cards 1.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME ADO Den Haag
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Ajax II
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
1.15 xG 1.56
37% Ball Possession 63%
12 Total Shots 15
6 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 5
240 Passes 494
73% Pass Accuracy 87%
19 Box Touches 26
19 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 2
21.10.2024 Ajax II Ajax II 0-0 HT 0-0 ADO Den Haag ADO Den Haag HOL2
01.03.2024 ADO Den Haag ADO Den Haag 2-1 HT 1-1 Ajax II Ajax II HOL2
23.10.2023 Ajax II Ajax II 0-0 HT 0-0 ADO Den Haag ADO Den Haag HOL2
08.05.2023 Ajax II Ajax II 4-2 HT 2-0 ADO Den Haag ADO Den Haag HOL2
28.08.2022 ADO Den Haag ADO Den Haag 4-0 HT 2-0 Ajax II Ajax II HOL2
07.03.2022 Ajax II Ajax II 6-3 HT 3-1 ADO Den Haag ADO Den Haag HOL2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME ADO Den Haag
1-0
AWAY Ajax II
2.16 xG 0.59
53% Ball Possession 47%
18 Total Shots 8
9 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 5
273 Passes 238
76% Pass Accuracy 73%
32 Box Touches 21
22 Crosses 7
5 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH ADO Den Haag vs Ajax II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

ADO Den Haag squeezed past Ajax II 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had ADO Den Haag as the likeliest winner at 53%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, ADO Den Haag had 53% of the ball to Ajax II's 47%, shots finished 18-8, expected goals 2.16 to 0.59 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold ADO Den Haag's control.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for ADO Den Haag and 1.83 for Ajax II.

What was the final score of ADO Den Haag vs Ajax II?

ADO Den Haag 1-0 Ajax II in the Netherlands - Eerste Divisie on 14/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for ADO Den Haag vs Ajax II?

Before kick-off our model rated a ADO Den Haag win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split ADO Den Haag 53%, draw 23%, Ajax II 24%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (ADO Den Haag) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (ADO Den Haag) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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