Ajax II 0-0 ADO Den Haag — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Netherlands - Eerste Divisie, 21 Oct 2024

📅21/10/2024 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
30%
3.75
Draw
25%
3.94
Away
45%
1.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
2.61
Over 2.5
56%
1.45
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%
1.46
No
42%
2.51
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
6.02
2-3 Goals
40%
2.07
4-5 Goals
26%
2.57
6+ Goals
14%
5.73
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
6.11
1/2
7%
19.3
1/X
6%
14.3
X/1
11%
9.6
X/2
15%
4.37
X/X
13%
6.67
2/1 EV+ ✗
8%
34.5
2/2
23%
2.1
2/X
6%
14.1
Value flag · 2/1 at 34.5 — our 8% vs market 1.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
30%
Home Win
23%
+6.3pp
25%
Draw
22%
+3.2pp
45%
Away Win
55%
-9.5pp
44%
Under 2.5
35%
+9.1pp
56%
Over 2.5
65%
-9.1pp
58%
BTTS Yes
64%
-6.5pp
42%
BTTS No
36%
+6.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ajax II EU Bookmakers 27%
Head to Head
AWAY ADO Den Haag EU Bookmakers 59%
-1% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -5%
1.16/1.58 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.97/1.06
+4% / +8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +11% / -7%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
324 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 358 · 76%
19.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 27.6
10.8 Crosses 22.1
1.7 Yellow Cards 1.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ajax II
2W-1D-3L
AWAY ADO Den Haag
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 2.17
1.56 xG 1.31
60% Ball Possession 40%
14 Total Shots 14
6 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
462 Passes 252
86% Pass Accuracy 73%
25 Box Touches 21
12 Crosses 22
1 Yellow Cards 2
01.03.2024 ADO Den Haag ADO Den Haag 2-1 HT 1-1 Ajax II Ajax II HOL2
23.10.2023 Ajax II Ajax II 0-0 HT 0-0 ADO Den Haag ADO Den Haag HOL2
08.05.2023 Ajax II Ajax II 4-2 HT 2-0 ADO Den Haag ADO Den Haag HOL2
28.08.2022 ADO Den Haag ADO Den Haag 4-0 HT 2-0 Ajax II Ajax II HOL2
07.03.2022 Ajax II Ajax II 6-3 HT 3-1 ADO Den Haag ADO Den Haag HOL2
08.08.2021 ADO Den Haag ADO Den Haag 2-0 HT 0-0 Ajax II Ajax II HOL2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Ajax II
0-0
AWAY ADO Den Haag
0.86 xG 0.32
71% Ball Possession 29%
18 Total Shots 4
3 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 1
551 Passes 177
88% Pass Accuracy 68%
26 Box Touches 9
23 Crosses 8
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Ajax II vs ADO Den Haag
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ajax II and ADO Den Haag played out a goalless draw. Neither side could find a way through.

Our pre-match lean was ADO Den Haag at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (56%), both teams to score (58%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Ajax II had 71% of the ball to ADO Den Haag's 29%, shots finished 18-4, expected goals 0.86 to 0.32.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, ADO Den Haag led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Ajax II and 2.17 for ADO Den Haag.

What was the final score of Ajax II vs ADO Den Haag?

Ajax II 0-0 ADO Den Haag in the Netherlands - Eerste Divisie on 21/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ajax II vs ADO Den Haag?

Before kick-off our model rated an ADO Den Haag win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Ajax II 30%, draw 25%, ADO Den Haag 45%. The final score 0-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (ADO Den Haag) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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