Willem II 1-0 PSV II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Netherlands - Eerste Divisie, 3 Apr 2026

📅03/04/2026 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
58%
1.57
Draw
19%
4.19
Away
23%
4.31
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
42%
2.96
Over 2.5
58%
1.36
Both Teams to Score
Yes
59%
1.46
No
41%
2.53
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
6.31
2-3 Goals
41%
2.09
4-5 Goals
26%
2.37
6+ Goals
13%
4.67
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1.92
1/2
9%
34.0
1/X
6%
14.0
X/1
24%
4.51
X/2
5%
10.7
X/X
7%
7.34
2/1
10%
17.65
2/2
9%
7.06
2/X
6%
15.25
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
58%
Home Win
59%
-1.3pp
19%
Draw
21%
-1.2pp
23%
Away Win
20%
+2.6pp
42%
Under 2.5
30%
+11.7pp
58%
Over 2.5
70%
-11.7pp
59%
BTTS Yes
64%
-5.1pp
41%
BTTS No
36%
+5.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Willem II EU Bookmakers 64%
Head to Head
AWAY PSV II EU Bookmakers 23%
-6% / -9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
2.06/0.95 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.25/2.02
-7% / +24% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +26% / -19%
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
407 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 315 · 77%
25.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.3
29.4 Crosses 12.9
1.3 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Willem II
1W-3D-2L
AWAY PSV II
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.54 xG 1.22
48% Ball Possession 52%
15 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 4
360 Passes 421
79% Pass Accuracy 82%
24 Box Touches 20
21 Crosses 9
1 Yellow Cards 2
03.11.2025 PSV II PSV II 2-1 HT 2-1 Willem II Willem II HOL2
29.01.2024 PSV II PSV II 1-1 HT 0-0 Willem II Willem II HOL2
27.10.2023 Willem II Willem II 3-0 HT 1-0 PSV II PSV II HOL2
30.01.2023 PSV II PSV II 3-2 HT 0-1 Willem II Willem II HOL2
05.08.2022 Willem II Willem II 1-1 HT 0-0 PSV II PSV II HOL2
17.03.2014 PSV II PSV II 2-2 HT 0-1 Willem II Willem II HOL2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Willem II
1-0
AWAY PSV II
2.04 xG 0.67
37% Ball Possession 63%
17 Total Shots 12
8 Shots on Target 2
3 Corners 8
256 Passes 492
80% Pass Accuracy 90%
23 Box Touches 27
12 Crosses 23
2 Yellow Cards 1
FAQ Willem II vs PSV II
Match summary & frequently asked questions

Willem II edged past PSV II 1-0 in the Netherlands - Eerste Divisie on 3 Apr 2026.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 58% and both teams to score was close to even at 59%.

On the day, Willem II had 37% of the ball to PSV II's 63%, shots finished 17-12, expected goals 2.04 to 0.67.

Across their last 6 meetings in our records, PSV II lead the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Willem II and 1.50 for PSV II.

What was the final score of Willem II vs PSV II?

Willem II 1-0 PSV II in the Netherlands - Eerste Divisie on 03/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Willem II vs PSV II?

Before kick-off our model rated a Willem II win the most likely single outcome at about 58%, with the full match-result split Willem II 58%, draw 19%, PSV II 23%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Willem II) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Willem II) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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