ADO Den Haag 4-2 Ajax II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Netherlands - Eerste Divisie, 3 Apr 2026

📅03/04/2026 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
75%
1.22
Draw
14%
5.71
Away
11%
8.19
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
34%
2.98
Over 2.5
66%
1.36
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.81
No
44%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
17%
6.75
2-3 Goals
39%
2.14
4-5 Goals
30%
2.33
6+ Goals
14%
4.35
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
39%
1.33
1/2
3%
34.0
1/X
4%
23.95
X/1
23%
3.94
X/2
2%
23.95
X/X
6%
10.7
2/1 EV+ ✗
13%
19.55
2/2
6%
19.3
2/X
4%
28.0
Value flag · 2/1 at 19.55 — our 13% vs market 2.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
75%
Home Win
77%
-1.7pp
14%
Draw
14%
-0.1pp
11%
Away Win
9%
+1.8pp
34%
Under 2.5
30%
+3.7pp
66%
Over 2.5
70%
-3.7pp
56%
BTTS Yes
51%
+4.9pp
44%
BTTS No
49%
-4.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME ADO Den Haag EU Bookmakers 82%
Head to Head
AWAY Ajax II EU Bookmakers 12%
-8% / -11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / -5%
1.97/0.84 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.94/2.02
-11% / -7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -10% / -4%
57% Ball Possession 43%
18 Total Shots 8
8 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 4
393 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 242 · 71%
34.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.7
26.0 Crosses 11.6
1.6 Yellow Cards 1.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME ADO Den Haag
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Ajax II
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.30 xG 1.06
44% Ball Possession 56%
13 Total Shots 14
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
283 Passes 413
77% Pass Accuracy 83%
21 Box Touches 22
22 Crosses 13
2 Yellow Cards 2
15.09.2025 Ajax II Ajax II 1-3 HT 0-2 ADO Den Haag ADO Den Haag HOL2
14.02.2025 ADO Den Haag ADO Den Haag 1-0 HT 0-0 Ajax II Ajax II HOL2
21.10.2024 Ajax II Ajax II 0-0 HT 0-0 ADO Den Haag ADO Den Haag HOL2
01.03.2024 ADO Den Haag ADO Den Haag 2-1 HT 1-1 Ajax II Ajax II HOL2
23.10.2023 Ajax II Ajax II 0-0 HT 0-0 ADO Den Haag ADO Den Haag HOL2
08.05.2023 Ajax II Ajax II 4-2 HT 2-0 ADO Den Haag ADO Den Haag HOL2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME ADO Den Haag
4-2
AWAY Ajax II
58% Ball Possession 42%
17 Total Shots 14
8 Shots on Target 5
8 Corners 5
FAQ ADO Den Haag vs Ajax II
Match summary & frequently asked questions

ADO Den Haag beat Ajax II 4-2 in the Netherlands - Eerste Divisie on 3 Apr 2026. The game was level at 2-2 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

The goals market leaned clearly over 2.5, at 66% and both teams to score was close to even at 56%.

On the day, ADO Den Haag had 58% of the ball to Ajax II's 42%, shots finished 17-14.

Across their last 6 meetings in our records, ADO Den Haag have the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for ADO Den Haag and 1.00 for Ajax II.

What was the final score of ADO Den Haag vs Ajax II?

ADO Den Haag 4-2 Ajax II in the Netherlands - Eerste Divisie on 03/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for ADO Den Haag vs Ajax II?

Before kick-off our model rated a ADO Den Haag win the most likely single outcome at about 75%, with the full match-result split ADO Den Haag 75%, draw 14%, Ajax II 11%. The final score 4-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (ADO Den Haag), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (ADO Den Haag) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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