Ajax II 1-3 ADO Den Haag — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Netherlands - Eerste Divisie, 15 Sep 2025

📅15/09/2025 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 1-3
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
21%
5.09
Draw
20%
4.34
Away
59%
1.46
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
2.51
Over 2.5
55%
1.48
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.61
No
45%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
5.08
2-3 Goals
41%
1.93
4-5 Goals
24%
2.52
6+ Goals
11%
5.97
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
9%
9.03
1/2 EV+ ✗
12%
18.65
1/X
6%
17.4
X/1
8%
12.25
X/2
18%
4.13
X/X
9%
7.16
2/1
4%
34.5
2/2
29%
1.76
2/X
5%
15.6
Value flag · 1/2 at 18.65 — our 12% vs market 2.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
21%
Home Win
16%
+4.9pp
20%
Draw
20%
+0.2pp
59%
Away Win
64%
-5.0pp
45%
Under 2.5
36%
+8.6pp
55%
Over 2.5
64%
-8.6pp
55%
BTTS Yes
58%
-2.6pp
45%
BTTS No
42%
+2.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ajax II EU Bookmakers 20%
Head to Head
AWAY ADO Den Haag EU Bookmakers 69%
+16% / +15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -7% / -7%
0.73/1.33 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.14/1.01
-65% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -6% / -3%
47% Ball Possession 53%
9 Total Shots 18
3 Shots on Target 7
3 Corners 6
290 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 382 · 80%
18.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 33.0
10.6 Crosses 23.8
1.6 Yellow Cards 1.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ajax II
1W-2D-3L
AWAY ADO Den Haag
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.11 xG 1.13
60% Ball Possession 40%
14 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 5
455 Passes 244
85% Pass Accuracy 74%
23 Box Touches 19
14 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 2
14.02.2025 ADO Den Haag ADO Den Haag 1-0 HT 0-0 Ajax II Ajax II HOL2
21.10.2024 Ajax II Ajax II 0-0 HT 0-0 ADO Den Haag ADO Den Haag HOL2
01.03.2024 ADO Den Haag ADO Den Haag 2-1 HT 1-1 Ajax II Ajax II HOL2
23.10.2023 Ajax II Ajax II 0-0 HT 0-0 ADO Den Haag ADO Den Haag HOL2
08.05.2023 Ajax II Ajax II 4-2 HT 2-0 ADO Den Haag ADO Den Haag HOL2
28.08.2022 ADO Den Haag ADO Den Haag 4-0 HT 2-0 Ajax II Ajax II HOL2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Ajax II
1-3
AWAY ADO Den Haag
0.77 xG 2.76
47% Ball Possession 53%
12 Total Shots 23
2 Shots on Target 8
6 Corners 9
310 Passes 367
77% Pass Accuracy 82%
14 Box Touches 39
9 Crosses 32
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Ajax II vs ADO Den Haag
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

ADO Den Haag got the better of Ajax II 3-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

Just as the model leaned, our model had ADO Den Haag as the likeliest winner at 59%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (55%), both teams to score (55%) came in.

On the day, Ajax II had 47% of the ball to ADO Den Haag's 53%, shots finished 12-23, expected goals 0.77 to 2.76.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, ADO Den Haag led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Ajax II and 1.50 for ADO Den Haag.

What was the final score of Ajax II vs ADO Den Haag?

Ajax II 1-3 ADO Den Haag in the Netherlands - Eerste Divisie on 15/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ajax II vs ADO Den Haag?

Before kick-off our model rated an ADO Den Haag win the most likely single outcome at about 59%, with the full match-result split Ajax II 21%, draw 20%, ADO Den Haag 59%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (ADO Den Haag), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (ADO Den Haag) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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