Dordrecht 1-1 AZ Alkmaar II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Netherlands - Eerste Divisie, 15 Sep 2025

Dordrecht
1-1 HT 1-1
AZ Alkmaar II
📅15/09/2025 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-2 ✗
Netherlands - Eerste Divisie – 2025/2026

Dordrecht vs AZ Alkmaar II Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.27
Draw
22%
3.45
Away
36%
2.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
38%
2.21
Over 2.5
62%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
61%
1.5
No
39%
2.4
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
4.23
2-3 Goals
38%
1.82
4-5 Goals
27%
2.73
6+ Goals
15%
7.7
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
3.29
1/2
8%
25.5
1/X
10%
12.45
X/1
14%
5.57
X/2
11%
6.14
X/X
6%
5.36
2/1 EV+ ✗
9%
23.2
2/2
18%
3.8
2/X
5%
12.45
Value flag · 2/1 at 23.2 — our 9% vs market 2.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
40%
+1.7pp
22%
Draw
26%
-3.5pp
36%
Away Win
34%
+1.8pp
38%
Under 2.5
41%
-2.9pp
62%
Over 2.5
59%
+3.0pp
61%
BTTS Yes
62%
-1.0pp
39%
BTTS No
38%
+1.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Dordrecht v AZ Alkmaar II — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Dordrecht EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY AZ Alkmaar II EU Bookmakers 38%
+4% / +33% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +5%
1.33/1.62 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.45/1.39
+9% / +35% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +5% / -15%
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
332 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 335 · 79%
22.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 24.6
17.2 Crosses 11.3
1.9 Yellow Cards 1.6

Dordrecht vs AZ Alkmaar II Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Dordrecht
1W-2D-3L
AWAY AZ Alkmaar II
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
0.97 xG 1.43
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 8
5 Corners 5
344 Passes 351
80% Pass Accuracy 80%
26 Box Touches 24
19 Crosses 6
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
17.01.2025 Dordrecht Dordrecht 1-1 HT 1-0 AZ Alkmaar II AZ Alkmaar II HOL2
26.08.2024 AZ Alkmaar II AZ Alkmaar II 3-1 HT 0-0 Dordrecht Dordrecht HOL2
22.01.2024 AZ Alkmaar II AZ Alkmaar II 5-1 HT 3-0 Dordrecht Dordrecht HOL2
22.09.2023 Dordrecht Dordrecht 0-0 HT 0-0 AZ Alkmaar II AZ Alkmaar II HOL2
21.04.2023 Dordrecht Dordrecht 1-0 HT 0-0 AZ Alkmaar II AZ Alkmaar II HOL2
05.09.2022 AZ Alkmaar II AZ Alkmaar II 3-1 HT 0-1 Dordrecht Dordrecht HOL2

Dordrecht 1-1 AZ Alkmaar II — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Dordrecht
1-1
AWAY AZ Alkmaar II
0.73 xG 1.53
43% Ball Possession 57%
11 Total Shots 21
3 Shots on Target 8
11 Corners 6
239 Passes 368
76% Pass Accuracy 82%
24 Box Touches 34
28 Crosses 16
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Dordrecht vs AZ Alkmaar II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Dordrecht and AZ Alkmaar II couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1.

Our pre-match lean was Dordrecht at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, both teams to score (61%) landed while over 2.5 goals (62%) missed.

On the day, Dordrecht had 43% of the ball to AZ Alkmaar II's 57%, shots finished 11-21, expected goals 0.73 to 1.53.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, AZ Alkmaar II led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Dordrecht and 2.00 for AZ Alkmaar II.

What was the final score of Dordrecht vs AZ Alkmaar II?

Dordrecht 1-1 AZ Alkmaar II in the Netherlands - Eerste Divisie on 15/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Dordrecht vs AZ Alkmaar II?

Before kick-off our model rated a Dordrecht win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Dordrecht 42%, draw 22%, AZ Alkmaar II 36%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Dordrecht), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Dordrecht) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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