Almere City 5-0 FC Eindhoven — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Netherlands - Eerste Divisie, 15 Sep 2025

Almere City
5-0 HT 3-0
FC Eindhoven
📅15/09/2025 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✗ 2nd Score 3-1 ✗
Netherlands - Eerste Divisie – 2025/2026

Almere City vs FC Eindhoven Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
58%
1.57
Draw
21%
3.94
Away
21%
4.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
42%
2.15
Over 2.5
58%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.7
No
43%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
3.92
2-3 Goals
38%
1.8
4-5 Goals
24%
2.86
6+ Goals
13%
8.64
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1.97
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
7%
14.75
X/1
22%
4.12
X/2
9%
10.45
X/X
7%
5.96
2/1 EV+ ✗
12%
20.55
2/2
6%
8.06
2/X
6%
16.45
Value flag · 2/1 at 20.55 — our 12% vs market 2.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
58%
Home Win
59%
-0.8pp
20%
Draw
22%
-1.4pp
21%
Away Win
19%
+2.1pp
42%
Under 2.5
43%
-0.8pp
58%
Over 2.5
57%
+0.8pp
57%
BTTS Yes
55%
+2.4pp
43%
BTTS No
45%
-2.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Almere City v FC Eindhoven — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Almere City EU Bookmakers 64%
Head to Head
AWAY FC Eindhoven EU Bookmakers 22%
-12% / -19% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +10% / +32%
1.80/1.04 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.02/1.51
-20% / -18% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +10% / +29%
56% Ball Possession 44%
15 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
413 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 270 · 74%
30.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.1
22.7 Crosses 15.7
1.5 Yellow Cards 1.8

Almere City vs FC Eindhoven Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Almere City
3W-1D-2L
AWAY FC Eindhoven
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.36 xG 0.68
61% Ball Possession 39%
16 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 2
9 Corners 5
442 Passes 239
80% Pass Accuracy 68%
27 Box Touches 13
24 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
26.05.2023 Almere City Almere City 3-1 HT 0-0 FC Eindhoven FC Eindhoven HOL2
22.05.2023 FC Eindhoven FC Eindhoven 1-0 HT 0-0 Almere City Almere City HOL2
10.02.2023 FC Eindhoven FC Eindhoven 0-1 HT 0-1 Almere City Almere City HOL2
12.09.2022 Almere City Almere City 1-1 HT 0-0 FC Eindhoven FC Eindhoven HOL2
08.04.2022 FC Eindhoven FC Eindhoven 3-1 HT 2-1 Almere City Almere City HOL2
03.12.2021 Almere City Almere City 2-0 HT 1-0 FC Eindhoven FC Eindhoven HOL2

Almere City 5-0 FC Eindhoven — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Almere City
5-0
AWAY FC Eindhoven
2.85 xG 1.07
57% Ball Possession 43%
28 Total Shots 14
13 Shots on Target 5
10 Corners 4
396 Passes 287
87% Pass Accuracy 82%
33 Box Touches 15
23 Crosses 10
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Almere City vs FC Eindhoven
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Almere City cruised past FC Eindhoven 5-0. Half-time: 3-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Almere City as the likeliest winner at 58%, and the 5-0 landed on that lead. On goals, over 2.5 goals (58%) landed while both teams to score (57%) missed.

On the day, Almere City had 57% of the ball to FC Eindhoven's 43%, shots finished 28-14, expected goals 2.85 to 1.07.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Almere City had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Almere City and 1.00 for FC Eindhoven.

What was the final score of Almere City vs FC Eindhoven?

Almere City 5-0 FC Eindhoven in the Netherlands - Eerste Divisie on 15/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Almere City vs FC Eindhoven?

Before kick-off our model rated a Almere City win the most likely single outcome at about 58%, with the full match-result split Almere City 58%, draw 20%, FC Eindhoven 21%. The final score 5-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Almere City), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Almere City) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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