PSV II vs Roda Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PSV II v Roda — Team-Based Signals
PSV II vs Roda Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
2-1
HT 1-1
PSV II
HOL2
5-1
HT 3-0
Roda
HOL2
PSV II 0-1 Roda — Actual Match Statistics
Roda edged past PSV II 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
Our pre-match lean was PSV II at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (58%), both teams to score (61%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, PSV II had 52% of the ball to Roda's 48%, shots finished 18-10, expected goals 1.04 to 1.53.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Roda led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for PSV II and 2.00 for Roda.
What was the final score of PSV II vs Roda?
PSV II 0-1 Roda in the Netherlands - Eerste Divisie on 15/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for PSV II vs Roda?
Before kick-off our model rated a PSV II win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split PSV II 41%, draw 24%, Roda 35%. The final score 0-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.