PSV II 1-1 Roda — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Friendlies, 18 Jul 2025

PSV II
1-1 HT 1-1
Roda
📅18/07/2025 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.99
Draw
22%
3.72
Away
42%
1.96
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
Over 2.5
50%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.41
No
53%
2.67
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
27%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
8%
X/2
16%
X/X
9%
2/1
9%
2/2
20%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
30%
+6.1pp
22%
Draw
23%
-1.1pp
42%
Away Win
47%
-5.1pp
47%
BTTS Yes
67%
-19.8pp
53%
BTTS No
33%
+19.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME PSV II EU Bookmakers 33%
Head to Head
AWAY Roda EU Bookmakers 51%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 15
6 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
401 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 278 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME PSV II
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Roda
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
1.04 xG 1.39
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 18
5 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 7
346 Passes 348
79% Pass Accuracy 79%
14 Box Touches 27
13 Crosses 22
2 Yellow Cards 2
07.03.2025 Roda Roda 2-1 HT 0-1 PSV II PSV II HOL2
09.12.2024 PSV II PSV II 2-3 HT 1-0 Roda Roda HOL2
01.04.2024 PSV II PSV II 2-3 HT 2-2 Roda Roda HOL2
08.12.2023 Roda Roda 2-1 HT 1-1 PSV II PSV II HOL2
03.04.2023 PSV II PSV II 5-1 HT 3-0 Roda Roda HOL2
09.09.2022 Roda Roda 1-1 HT 0-0 PSV II PSV II HOL2
POST-MATCH PSV II vs Roda
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

PSV II and Roda couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1.

Our pre-match lean was Roda at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Roda led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for PSV II and 2.00 for Roda.

What was the final score of PSV II vs Roda?

PSV II 1-1 Roda in the Friendlies on 18/07/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for PSV II vs Roda?

Before kick-off our model rated an Roda win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split PSV II 36%, draw 22%, Roda 42%. The final score 1-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Roda) ✗ BTTS No
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