Leeds United U21 1-2 Manchester United U21 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — INGPL2, 3 Apr 2026

📅03/04/2026 · 🕒14:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 1-3
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
18%
5.09
Draw
18%
4.62
Away
64%
1.42
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
38%
Over 2.5
62%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.46
No
43%
2.51
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
6%
1/2
6%
1/X
3%
X/1
9%
X/2
16%
X/X
12%
2/1
3%
2/2
42%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
18%
Home Win
16%
+1.8pp
18%
Draw
18%
-0.1pp
64%
Away Win
66%
-1.7pp
57%
BTTS Yes
64%
-7.6pp
43%
BTTS No
36%
+7.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Leeds United U21 EU Bookmakers 20%
Head to Head
AWAY Manchester United U21 EU Bookmakers 70%
+26% / +26% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +19% / +19%
1.00/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.57/0.73
-10% / +118% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +21% / +66%
40% Ball Possession 60%
11 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 7
249 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 424 · 84%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
12.0 Crosses 11.1
4.0 Yellow Cards 1.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Leeds United U21
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Manchester United U21
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
51% Ball Possession 49%
6 Total Shots 19
3 Shots on Target 9
4 Corners 8
265 Passes 200
77% Pass Accuracy 81%
7 Crosses 24
4 Yellow Cards 3
28.03.2025 Leeds United U21 Leeds United U21 2-2 HT 2-0 Manchester United U21 Manchester United U21 INGPL2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Leeds United U21
1-2
AWAY Manchester United U21
58% Ball Possession 42%
9 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 10
378 Passes 258
80% Pass Accuracy 77%
20 Crosses 15
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Leeds United U21 vs Manchester United U21
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Manchester United U21 nicked a narrow win over Leeds United U21 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

As we said in the preview, our model had Manchester United U21 as the likeliest winner at 64%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (62%), both teams to score (57%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Leeds United U21 had 58% of the ball to Manchester United U21's 42%, shots finished 9-10.

What was the final score of Leeds United U21 vs Manchester United U21?

Leeds United U21 1-2 Manchester United U21 in the INGPL2 on 03/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Leeds United U21 vs Manchester United U21?

Before kick-off our model rated an Manchester United U21 win the most likely single outcome at about 64%, with the full match-result split Leeds United U21 18%, draw 18%, Manchester United U21 64%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Manchester United U21), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Manchester United U21) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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