Ogre United 1-2 Super Nova — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Latvia - Virsliga, 3 Apr 2026

📅03/04/2026 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
2.94
Draw
28%
3.28
Away
40%
2.23
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
1.78
Over 2.5
53%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%
1.76
No
42%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
9%
1/X
6%
X/1
9%
X/2
8%
X/X
16%
2/1
5%
2/2
23%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
31%
+1.0pp
28%
Draw
28%
+0.7pp
40%
Away Win
42%
-1.8pp
47%
Under 2.5
52%
-5.4pp
53%
Over 2.5
48%
+5.4pp
58%
BTTS Yes
53%
+5.2pp
42%
BTTS No
47%
-5.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ogre United EU Bookmakers 34%
Head to Head
AWAY Super Nova EU Bookmakers 45%
+3% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -15% / -15%
0.52/1.72 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.26/0.99
-24% / +18% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +14% / -10%
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
266 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 270 · 73%
16.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 26.6
20.0 Crosses 29.7
1.0 Yellow Cards 1.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ogre United
0W-1D-1L
AWAY Super Nova
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
10.11.2024 Super Nova Super Nova 3-0 Ogre United LET1
27.07.2024 Ogre United 1-1 HT 1-1 Super Nova Super Nova LET1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Ogre United
1-2
AWAY Super Nova
0.39 xG 1.56
54% Ball Possession 46%
8 Total Shots 13
1 Shots on Target 7
3 Corners 2
283 Passes 239
74% Pass Accuracy 72%
14 Box Touches 31
20 Crosses 13
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Ogre United vs Super Nova
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Super Nova edged past Ogre United 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

We called this one close before kick-off — 32% / 28% / 40% — and on the day Super Nova made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — both teams to score (58%) came in.

On the day, Ogre United had 54% of the ball to Super Nova's 46%, shots finished 8-13, expected goals 0.39 to 1.56.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Super Nova led the recent series with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Ogre United and 2.00 for Super Nova.

What was the final score of Ogre United vs Super Nova?

Ogre United 1-2 Super Nova in the Latvia - Virsliga on 03/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ogre United vs Super Nova?

Before kick-off our model rated an Super Nova win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Ogre United 32%, draw 28%, Super Nova 40%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Super Nova), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Super Nova) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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