BFC Daugavpils vs Liepaja Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
BFC Daugavpils v Liepaja — Team-Based Signals
BFC Daugavpils vs Liepaja Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
BFC Daugavpils 2-0 Liepaja — Actual Match Statistics
BFC Daugavpils beat Liepaja 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.
This one beat our numbers. Liepaja carried 61% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (57%), both teams to score (56%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, BFC Daugavpils had 28% of the ball to Liepaja's 72%, shots finished 16-10, expected goals 1.29 to 2.00 — on chances, Liepaja could feel hard done by.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Liepaja led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for BFC Daugavpils and 2.00 for Liepaja.
What was the final score of BFC Daugavpils vs Liepaja?
BFC Daugavpils 2-0 Liepaja in the Latvia - Virsliga on 03/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for BFC Daugavpils vs Liepaja?
Before kick-off our model rated an Liepaja win the most likely single outcome at about 61%, with the full match-result split BFC Daugavpils 21%, draw 18%, Liepaja 61%. The final score 2-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.