Liepaja vs BFC Daugavpils Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Liepaja v BFC Daugavpils — Team-Based Signals
Liepaja vs BFC Daugavpils Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
Liepaja 2-1 BFC Daugavpils — Actual Match Statistics
Liepaja squeezed past BFC Daugavpils 2-1. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Liepaja as the likeliest winner at 54%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged both teams to score (57%), and that read landed as well.
On the day, Liepaja had 54% of the ball to BFC Daugavpils's 46%, shots finished 11-9, expected goals 1.23 to 1.02.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Liepaja and 1.50 for BFC Daugavpils.
What was the final score of Liepaja vs BFC Daugavpils?
Liepaja 2-1 BFC Daugavpils in the Latvia - Virsliga on 09/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Liepaja vs BFC Daugavpils?
Before kick-off our model rated a Liepaja win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Liepaja 54%, draw 24%, BFC Daugavpils 22%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Liepaja), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.