Liepaja vs BFC Daugavpils Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Liepaja v BFC Daugavpils — Team-Based Signals
Liepaja vs BFC Daugavpils Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
2-1
HT 1-0
Liepaja
LET
Liepaja 1-1 BFC Daugavpils — Actual Match Statistics
Liepaja and BFC Daugavpils shared the points in a 1-1 draw. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.
Our pre-match lean was Liepaja at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, both teams to score (55%) landed while over 2.5 goals (55%) missed.
On the day, Liepaja had 67% of the ball to BFC Daugavpils's 33%, shots finished 8-10, expected goals 0.87 to 1.09.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, BFC Daugavpils led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Liepaja and 1.67 for BFC Daugavpils.
What was the final score of Liepaja vs BFC Daugavpils?
Liepaja 1-1 BFC Daugavpils in the Latvia - Virsliga on 13/06/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Liepaja vs BFC Daugavpils?
Before kick-off our model rated a Liepaja win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Liepaja 41%, draw 29%, BFC Daugavpils 30%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Liepaja), Over 2.5 went the other way.