BFC Daugavpils vs Liepaja Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
BFC Daugavpils v Liepaja — Team-Based Signals
BFC Daugavpils vs Liepaja Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
BFC Daugavpils 1-2 Liepaja — Actual Match Statistics
Liepaja edged past BFC Daugavpils 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
As we said in the preview, our model had Liepaja as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged both teams to score (60%), and that read landed as well.
On the day, BFC Daugavpils had 45% of the ball to Liepaja's 55%, shots finished 13-7, expected goals 1.49 to 1.02 — on chances, BFC Daugavpils could feel hard done by.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Liepaja led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for BFC Daugavpils and 1.83 for Liepaja.
What was the final score of BFC Daugavpils vs Liepaja?
BFC Daugavpils 1-2 Liepaja in the Latvia - Virsliga on 02/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for BFC Daugavpils vs Liepaja?
Before kick-off our model rated an Liepaja win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split BFC Daugavpils 29%, draw 26%, Liepaja 46%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Liepaja), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.