Grobina 1-1 Riga FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Latvia - Virsliga, 2 Nov 2025

📅02/11/2025 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 0-3
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
7%
7.78
Draw
17%
4.81
Away
76%
1.33
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.29
Over 2.5
53%
1.56
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.96
No
52%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
2%
1/2
10%
1/X
5%
X/1
2%
X/2
33%
X/X
9%
2/1
2%
2/2
34%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
7%
Home Win
10%
-3.8pp
17%
Draw
18%
-0.9pp
76%
Away Win
71%
+4.8pp
47%
Under 2.5
40%
+6.8pp
53%
Over 2.5
60%
-6.8pp
48%
BTTS Yes
47%
+1.2pp
52%
BTTS No
53%
-1.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Grobina EU Bookmakers 13%
Head to Head
AWAY Riga FC EU Bookmakers 75%
+4% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / +8%
1.09/2.11 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.69/0.80
+1% / +0% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +11% / +48%
38% Ball Possession 62%
8 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 6
247 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 442 · 83%
15.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 42.4
15.1 Crosses 28.3
3.4 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Grobina
0W-0D-6L
AWAY Riga FC
0.17 Avg Goals (FT) 3.50
0.42 xG 2.56
31% Ball Possession 69%
4 Total Shots 16
1 Shots on Target 7
2 Corners 7
189 Passes 522
70% Pass Accuracy 88%
8 Box Touches 38
10 Crosses 26
2 Yellow Cards 2
10.08.2025 Riga FC Riga FC 2-0 HT 0-0 Grobina Grobina LET
14.06.2025 Grobina Grobina 0-2 HT 0-2 Riga FC Riga FC LET
19.04.2025 Riga FC Riga FC 3-0 HT 0-0 Grobina Grobina LET
31.08.2024 Riga FC Riga FC 6-1 HT 2-1 Grobina Grobina LET
22.06.2024 Grobina Grobina 0-6 HT 0-4 Riga FC Riga FC LET
02.05.2024 Riga FC Riga FC 2-0 HT 1-0 Grobina Grobina LET
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Grobina
1-1
AWAY Riga FC
0.26 xG 1.54
18% Ball Possession 82%
5 Total Shots 16
2 Shots on Target 4
1 Corners 5
81 Passes 644
52% Pass Accuracy 89%
8 Box Touches 42
10 Crosses 33
6 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Grobina vs Riga FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Grobina and Riga FC shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-1.

This one beat our numbers. Riga FC carried 76% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Grobina had 18% of the ball to Riga FC's 82%, shots finished 5-16, expected goals 0.26 to 1.54.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Riga FC led the recent series with 6 wins. Those games averaged 0.17 goals for Grobina and 3.50 for Riga FC.

What was the final score of Grobina vs Riga FC?

Grobina 1-1 Riga FC in the Latvia - Virsliga on 02/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Grobina vs Riga FC?

Before kick-off our model rated an Riga FC win the most likely single outcome at about 76%, with the full match-result split Grobina 7%, draw 17%, Riga FC 76%. The final score 1-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Riga FC) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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