Riga FC 2-0 Grobina — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Latvia - Virsliga, 10 Aug 2025

📅10/08/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 4-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
80%
1.16
Draw
13%
7.13
Away
7%
10.87
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
40%
Over 2.5
60%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
2.06
No
54%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
50%
1/2
2%
1/X
5%
X/1
21%
X/2
3%
X/X
3%
2/1
10%
2/2
2%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
80%
Home Win
82%
-2.0pp
13%
Draw
11%
+1.3pp
7%
Away Win
7%
+0.8pp
46%
BTTS Yes
44%
+1.2pp
54%
BTTS No
56%
-1.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Riga FC EU Bookmakers 87%
Head to Head
AWAY Grobina EU Bookmakers 9%
-1% / -16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +10% / +10%
2.78/0.65 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.57/2.14
+8% / +36% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -54% / -4%
61% Ball Possession 39%
18 Total Shots 9
7 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 4
455 · 85% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 252 · 76%
44.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 9.0
31.5 Crosses 11.7
1.3 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Riga FC
6W-0D-0L
AWAY Grobina
3.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.17
2.52 xG 0.47
68% Ball Possession 32%
18 Total Shots 5
8 Shots on Target 2
8 Corners 3
511 Passes 192
88% Pass Accuracy 70%
41 Box Touches 9
27 Crosses 11
1 Yellow Cards 2
14.06.2025 Grobina Grobina 0-2 HT 0-2 Riga FC Riga FC LET
19.04.2025 Riga FC Riga FC 3-0 HT 0-0 Grobina Grobina LET
31.08.2024 Riga FC Riga FC 6-1 HT 2-1 Grobina Grobina LET
22.06.2024 Grobina Grobina 0-6 HT 0-4 Riga FC Riga FC LET
02.05.2024 Riga FC Riga FC 2-0 HT 1-0 Grobina Grobina LET
10.03.2024 Grobina Grobina 0-1 HT 0-1 Riga FC Riga FC LET
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Riga FC
2-0
AWAY Grobina
3.19 xG 0.04
71% Ball Possession 29%
11 Total Shots 1
4 Shots on Target 0
5 Corners 1
570 Passes 192
87% Pass Accuracy 73%
26 Box Touches 3
18 Crosses 11
2 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Riga FC vs Grobina
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Riga FC saw off Grobina 2-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Riga FC as the likeliest winner at 80%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (60%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Riga FC had 71% of the ball to Grobina's 29%, shots finished 11-1, expected goals 3.19 to 0.04.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Riga FC had the better of it with 6 wins. Those games averaged 3.33 goals for Riga FC and 0.17 for Grobina.

What was the final score of Riga FC vs Grobina?

Riga FC 2-0 Grobina in the Latvia - Virsliga on 10/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Riga FC vs Grobina?

Before kick-off our model rated a Riga FC win the most likely single outcome at about 80%, with the full match-result split Riga FC 80%, draw 13%, Grobina 7%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Riga FC), BTTS No — while Over 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Riga FC) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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