Rigas Skola 4-1 Super Nova — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Latvia - Virsliga, 10 Aug 2025

📅10/08/2025 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 4-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
81%
1.18
Draw
10%
5.71
Away
9%
10.87
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
41%
Over 2.5
59%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
39%
2.16
No
61%
1.61
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
47%
1/2
3%
1/X
4%
X/1
22%
X/2
3%
X/X
3%
2/1
12%
2/2
3%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
81%
Home Win
80%
+1.4pp
10%
Draw
14%
-3.8pp
9%
Away Win
6%
+2.5pp
39%
BTTS Yes
42%
-2.7pp
61%
BTTS No
58%
+2.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Rigas Skola EU Bookmakers 85%
Head to Head
AWAY Super Nova EU Bookmakers 9%
-2% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +5%
2.64/0.53 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.43/2.26
+28% / +15% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -23% / +24%
58% Ball Possession 42%
17 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 3
409 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 271 · 73%
43.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 11.8
27.4 Crosses 12.0
1.6 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Rigas Skola
6W-0D-0L
AWAY Super Nova
3.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
2.80 xG 0.41
66% Ball Possession 34%
20 Total Shots 6
8 Shots on Target 2
8 Corners 2
490 Passes 210
85% Pass Accuracy 70%
50 Box Touches 10
32 Crosses 10
2 Yellow Cards 3
14.06.2025 Rigas Skola Rigas Skola 2-1 HT 1-1 Super Nova Super Nova LET
20.04.2025 Super Nova Super Nova 1-2 HT 1-1 Rigas Skola Rigas Skola LET
05.11.2023 Super Nova Super Nova 0-4 HT 0-3 Rigas Skola Rigas Skola LET
13.08.2023 Rigas Skola Rigas Skola 5-0 HT 3-0 Super Nova Super Nova LET
04.06.2023 Super Nova Super Nova 1-6 HT 1-1 Rigas Skola Rigas Skola LET
24.04.2023 Rigas Skola Rigas Skola 2-1 HT 1-1 Super Nova Super Nova LET
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Rigas Skola
4-1
AWAY Super Nova
2.11 xG 0.40
60% Ball Possession 40%
22 Total Shots 6
8 Shots on Target 1
8 Corners 1
488 Passes 299
84% Pass Accuracy 77%
39 Box Touches 6
23 Crosses 5
0 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Rigas Skola vs Super Nova
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Rigas Skola cruised past Super Nova 4-1. Half-time: 3-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Rigas Skola as the likeliest winner at 81%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead. On goals, over 2.5 goals (59%) landed while no to both teams scoring (61%) missed.

On the day, Rigas Skola had 60% of the ball to Super Nova's 40%, shots finished 22-6, expected goals 2.11 to 0.40.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Rigas Skola had the better of it with 6 wins. Those games averaged 3.50 goals for Rigas Skola and 0.67 for Super Nova.

What was the final score of Rigas Skola vs Super Nova?

Rigas Skola 4-1 Super Nova in the Latvia - Virsliga on 10/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Rigas Skola vs Super Nova?

Before kick-off our model rated a Rigas Skola win the most likely single outcome at about 81%, with the full match-result split Rigas Skola 81%, draw 10%, Super Nova 9%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Rigas Skola), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Rigas Skola) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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