FK Tukums 2000 1-0 Auda — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Latvia - Virsliga, 10 Aug 2025

📅10/08/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
17%
4.65
Draw
23%
4.08
Away
60%
1.56
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
2.29
Over 2.5
50%
1.56
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.66
No
49%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
5%
1/2
10%
1/X
8%
X/1
8%
X/2
27%
X/X
12%
2/1
4%
2/2
23%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
17%
Home Win
18%
-1.8pp
24%
Draw
21%
+2.2pp
60%
Away Win
60%
-0.4pp
50%
Under 2.5
40%
+9.8pp
50%
Over 2.5
60%
-9.8pp
51%
BTTS Yes
56%
-5.6pp
49%
BTTS No
44%
+5.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME FK Tukums 2000 EU Bookmakers 22%
Head to Head
AWAY Auda EU Bookmakers 64%
+4% / +8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -7% / -1%
1.11/1.60 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.84/0.96
+6% / -1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -18% / +24%
43% Ball Possession 57%
9 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 6
255 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 358 · 80%
16.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 29.6
13.1 Crosses 21.4
3.1 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME FK Tukums 2000
0W-1D-5L
AWAY Auda
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 2.67
0.55 xG 2.79
36% Ball Possession 64%
8 Total Shots 20
4 Shots on Target 7
3 Corners 8
224 Passes 463
72% Pass Accuracy 85%
10 Box Touches 40
12 Crosses 25
2 Yellow Cards 2
13.06.2025 FK Tukums 2000 FK Tukums 2000 2-4 HT 1-2 Auda Auda LET
18.04.2025 Auda Auda 2-0 HT 1-0 FK Tukums 2000 FK Tukums 2000 LET
03.11.2024 FK Tukums 2000 FK Tukums 2000 0-3 HT 0-1 Auda Auda LET
02.10.2024 Auda Auda 1-1 HT 0-0 FK Tukums 2000 FK Tukums 2000 LET
02.06.2024 FK Tukums 2000 FK Tukums 2000 1-4 HT 0-2 Auda Auda LET
21.04.2024 Auda Auda 2-0 HT 1-0 FK Tukums 2000 FK Tukums 2000 LET
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME FK Tukums 2000
1-0
AWAY Auda
1.06 xG 1.74
37% Ball Possession 63%
8 Total Shots 17
3 Shots on Target 4
1 Corners 7
226 Passes 429
74% Pass Accuracy 86%
16 Box Touches 35
12 Crosses 45
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH FK Tukums 2000 vs Auda
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

FK Tukums 2000 nicked a narrow win over Auda 1-0.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Auda at 60% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, FK Tukums 2000 had 37% of the ball to Auda's 63%, shots finished 8-17, expected goals 1.06 to 1.74 — the balance of chances actually favoured Auda.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Auda led the recent series with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for FK Tukums 2000 and 2.67 for Auda.

What was the final score of FK Tukums 2000 vs Auda?

FK Tukums 2000 1-0 Auda in the Latvia - Virsliga on 10/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for FK Tukums 2000 vs Auda?

Before kick-off our model rated an Auda win the most likely single outcome at about 60%, with the full match-result split FK Tukums 2000 17%, draw 24%, Auda 60%. The final score 1-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Auda) ✗ BTTS Yes
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