Auda 2-0 FK Tukums 2000 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Latvia - Virsliga, 18 Apr 2025

📅18/04/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 4-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
67%
1.28
Draw
19%
5.15
Away
14%
8.19
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
Over 2.5
54%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
40%
1.99
No
60%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
38%
1/2
5%
1/X
4%
X/1
23%
X/2
5%
X/X
9%
2/1
6%
2/2
4%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
67%
Home Win
74%
-7.3pp
19%
Draw
16%
+2.6pp
14%
Away Win
10%
+4.6pp
40%
BTTS Yes
46%
-6.6pp
60%
BTTS No
54%
+6.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Auda EU Bookmakers 78%
Head to Head
AWAY FK Tukums 2000 EU Bookmakers 12%
-1% / -14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +10% / +14%
1.78/0.56 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.86/2.52
-26% / +81% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +34% / -20%
59% Ball Possession 41%
16 Total Shots 7
6 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 3
395 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 256 · 73%
33.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 13.8
22.0 Crosses 11.2
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Auda
4W-2D-0L
AWAY FK Tukums 2000
2.17 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
2.36 xG 0.82
63% Ball Possession 37%
16 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 3
470 Passes 240
85% Pass Accuracy 73%
34 Box Touches 13
21 Crosses 13
2 Yellow Cards 2
03.11.2024 FK Tukums 2000 FK Tukums 2000 0-3 HT 0-1 Auda Auda LET
02.10.2024 Auda Auda 1-1 HT 0-0 FK Tukums 2000 FK Tukums 2000 LET
02.06.2024 FK Tukums 2000 FK Tukums 2000 1-4 HT 0-2 Auda Auda LET
21.04.2024 Auda Auda 2-0 HT 1-0 FK Tukums 2000 FK Tukums 2000 LET
05.11.2023 Auda Auda 1-0 HT 1-0 FK Tukums 2000 FK Tukums 2000 LET
12.08.2023 FK Tukums 2000 FK Tukums 2000 2-2 HT 0-1 Auda Auda LET
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Auda
2-0
AWAY FK Tukums 2000
1.97 xG 1.04
51% Ball Possession 49%
26 Total Shots 18
8 Shots on Target 8
11 Corners 6
304 Passes 287
80% Pass Accuracy 78%
35 Box Touches 16
26 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Auda vs FK Tukums 2000
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Auda beat FK Tukums 2000 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Auda as the likeliest winner at 67%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged no to both teams scoring (60%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Auda had 51% of the ball to FK Tukums 2000's 49%, shots finished 26-18, expected goals 1.97 to 1.04.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Auda had the better of it with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.17 goals for Auda and 0.67 for FK Tukums 2000.

What was the final score of Auda vs FK Tukums 2000?

Auda 2-0 FK Tukums 2000 in the Latvia - Virsliga on 18/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Auda vs FK Tukums 2000?

Before kick-off our model rated a Auda win the most likely single outcome at about 67%, with the full match-result split Auda 67%, draw 19%, FK Tukums 2000 14%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Auda), BTTS No — while Over 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Auda) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
LET More Latvia - Virsliga
18 Apr 2025
15:00 Metta / LU Riga vs FS Jelgava Analysis →