Metta / LU Riga 0-0 FS Jelgava — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Latvia - Virsliga, 18 Apr 2025

📅18/04/2025 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
2.99
Draw
25%
3.28
Away
42%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.8
Over 2.5
49%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.75
No
47%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
14%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
7%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
21%
X/2
9%
X/X
11%
2/1
5%
2/2
26%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
30%
+3.2pp
25%
Draw
27%
-1.9pp
42%
Away Win
43%
-1.3pp
51%
Under 2.5
52%
-0.8pp
49%
Over 2.5
48%
+0.8pp
53%
BTTS Yes
53%
+0.3pp
47%
BTTS No
47%
-0.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Metta / LU Riga EU Bookmakers 33%
Head to Head
AWAY FS Jelgava EU Bookmakers 48%
+5% / +8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -3%
1.29/0.97 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.46/1.67
+9% / -17% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +20% / -13%
50% Ball Possession 50%
14 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 6
308 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 325 · 79%
21.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 38.0
20.6 Crosses 24.0
2.3 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Metta / LU Riga
3W-0D-3L
AWAY FS Jelgava
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
1.36 xG 1.08
54% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
313 Passes 268
74% Pass Accuracy 70%
23 Box Touches 24
21 Crosses 19
2 Yellow Cards 2
22.09.2024 Metta / LU Riga Metta / LU Riga 2-0 HT 2-0 FS Jelgava FS Jelgava LET
01.07.2024 FS Jelgava FS Jelgava 1-0 HT 0-0 Metta / LU Riga Metta / LU Riga LET
11.05.2024 Metta / LU Riga Metta / LU Riga 3-0 HT 3-0 FS Jelgava FS Jelgava LET
29.03.2024 FS Jelgava FS Jelgava 0-1 HT 0-1 Metta / LU Riga Metta / LU Riga LET
22.10.2023 Metta / LU Riga Metta / LU Riga 0-1 HT 0-0 FS Jelgava FS Jelgava LET
31.07.2023 Metta / LU Riga Metta / LU Riga 0-1 HT 0-1 FS Jelgava FS Jelgava LET
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Metta / LU Riga
0-0
AWAY FS Jelgava
0.53 xG 1.69
52% Ball Possession 48%
8 Total Shots 25
2 Shots on Target 1
4 Corners 5
380 Passes 323
83% Pass Accuracy 84%
10 Box Touches 35
17 Crosses 23
4 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Metta / LU Riga vs FS Jelgava
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Metta / LU Riga and FS Jelgava fought out a 0-0 stalemate. Neither side could find a way through.

Our pre-match lean was FS Jelgava at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Metta / LU Riga had 52% of the ball to FS Jelgava's 48%, shots finished 8-25, expected goals 0.53 to 1.69.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Metta / LU Riga and 0.50 for FS Jelgava.

What was the final score of Metta / LU Riga vs FS Jelgava?

Metta / LU Riga 0-0 FS Jelgava in the Latvia - Virsliga on 18/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Metta / LU Riga vs FS Jelgava?

Before kick-off our model rated an FS Jelgava win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Metta / LU Riga 33%, draw 25%, FS Jelgava 42%. The final score 0-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (FS Jelgava), BTTS Yes went the other way.

✗ Match Result (FS Jelgava) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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