Auda 0-1 FK Tukums 2000 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Latvia - Virsliga, 2 Nov 2025

📅02/11/2025 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
56%
1.75
Draw
23%
3.8
Away
21%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
2.23
Over 2.5
57%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%
1.55
No
42%
2.29
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
4%
1/X
7%
X/1
23%
X/2
8%
X/X
11%
2/1
13%
2/2
8%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
56%
Home Win
54%
+2.2pp
24%
Draw
23%
+0.2pp
21%
Away Win
23%
-2.5pp
43%
Under 2.5
41%
+1.9pp
57%
Over 2.5
59%
-1.9pp
58%
BTTS Yes
60%
-2.1pp
42%
BTTS No
40%
+2.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Auda EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY FK Tukums 2000 EU Bookmakers 26%
+14% / +14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -11% / -20%
1.68/0.86 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.04/1.61
+21% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -33% / +5%
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
294 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 307 · 77%
29.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.0
18.8 Crosses 22.0
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Auda
4W-1D-1L
AWAY FK Tukums 2000
2.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
2.88 xG 0.70
64% Ball Possession 36%
20 Total Shots 9
7 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 2
464 Passes 225
86% Pass Accuracy 74%
40 Box Touches 12
30 Crosses 13
2 Yellow Cards 2
10.08.2025 FK Tukums 2000 FK Tukums 2000 1-0 HT 1-0 Auda Auda LET
13.06.2025 FK Tukums 2000 FK Tukums 2000 2-4 HT 1-2 Auda Auda LET
18.04.2025 Auda Auda 2-0 HT 1-0 FK Tukums 2000 FK Tukums 2000 LET
03.11.2024 FK Tukums 2000 FK Tukums 2000 0-3 HT 0-1 Auda Auda LET
02.10.2024 Auda Auda 1-1 HT 0-0 FK Tukums 2000 FK Tukums 2000 LET
02.06.2024 FK Tukums 2000 FK Tukums 2000 1-4 HT 0-2 Auda Auda LET
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Auda
0-1
AWAY FK Tukums 2000
1.09 xG 1.27
74% Ball Possession 26%
19 Total Shots 9
3 Shots on Target 5
7 Corners 4
537 Passes 133
86% Pass Accuracy 59%
35 Box Touches 11
27 Crosses 8
4 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Auda vs FK Tukums 2000
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

FK Tukums 2000 edged past Auda 1-0 away from home.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Auda at 56% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (57%), both teams to score (58%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Auda had 74% of the ball to FK Tukums 2000's 26%, shots finished 19-9, expected goals 1.09 to 1.27.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Auda had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.33 goals for Auda and 0.83 for FK Tukums 2000.

What was the final score of Auda vs FK Tukums 2000?

Auda 0-1 FK Tukums 2000 in the Latvia - Virsliga on 02/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Auda vs FK Tukums 2000?

Before kick-off our model rated a Auda win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split Auda 56%, draw 24%, FK Tukums 2000 21%. The final score 0-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Auda) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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