FS Jelgava 2-2 Metta / LU Riga — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Latvia - Virsliga, 2 Nov 2025

📅02/11/2025 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
51%
1.9
Draw
27%
3.54
Away
22%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
42%
2.1
Over 2.5
58%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.61
No
43%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
14%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
29%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
13%
X/2
11%
X/X
14%
2/1
8%
2/2
7%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
51%
Home Win
48%
+2.7pp
27%
Draw
25%
+2.4pp
22%
Away Win
27%
-5.1pp
42%
Under 2.5
44%
-1.8pp
58%
Over 2.5
56%
+1.8pp
57%
BTTS Yes
58%
-1.3pp
43%
BTTS No
42%
+1.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME FS Jelgava EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Metta / LU Riga EU Bookmakers 31%
+11% / +11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -12% / -1%
1.12/0.99 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.01/1.69
-23% / +37% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +21% / -18%
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
322 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 272 · 74%
24.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.9
23.9 Crosses 18.6
2.9 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME FS Jelgava
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Metta / LU Riga
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.33 xG 1.29
53% Ball Possession 47%
19 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
341 Passes 303
80% Pass Accuracy 78%
28 Box Touches 20
26 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 2
09.08.2025 Metta / LU Riga Metta / LU Riga 2-2 HT 0-1 FS Jelgava FS Jelgava LET
13.06.2025 FS Jelgava FS Jelgava 2-1 HT 1-1 Metta / LU Riga Metta / LU Riga LET
18.04.2025 Metta / LU Riga Metta / LU Riga 0-0 HT 0-0 FS Jelgava FS Jelgava LET
22.09.2024 Metta / LU Riga Metta / LU Riga 2-0 HT 2-0 FS Jelgava FS Jelgava LET
01.07.2024 FS Jelgava FS Jelgava 1-0 HT 0-0 Metta / LU Riga Metta / LU Riga LET
11.05.2024 Metta / LU Riga Metta / LU Riga 3-0 HT 3-0 FS Jelgava FS Jelgava LET
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME FS Jelgava
2-2
AWAY Metta / LU Riga
1.33 xG 1.70
61% Ball Possession 39%
10 Total Shots 14
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
417 Passes 219
83% Pass Accuracy 74%
17 Box Touches 22
16 Crosses 27
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH FS Jelgava vs Metta / LU Riga
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

FS Jelgava and Metta / LU Riga shared the points in a 2-2 draw. Half-time: 1-1.

Our pre-match lean was FS Jelgava at 51%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (58%), both teams to score (57%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, FS Jelgava had 61% of the ball to Metta / LU Riga's 39%, shots finished 10-14, expected goals 1.33 to 1.70.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for FS Jelgava and 1.33 for Metta / LU Riga.

What was the final score of FS Jelgava vs Metta / LU Riga?

FS Jelgava 2-2 Metta / LU Riga in the Latvia - Virsliga on 02/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for FS Jelgava vs Metta / LU Riga?

Before kick-off our model rated a FS Jelgava win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split FS Jelgava 51%, draw 27%, Metta / LU Riga 22%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (FS Jelgava) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (FS Jelgava) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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