FC Dornbirn 1913 1-3 Kapfenberger SV — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Austria - 1st Division, 3 May 2024

📅03/05/2024 · 🕒19:10 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.05
Draw
28%
3.45
Away
37%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
2.07
Over 2.5
47%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.6
No
54%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
31%
4.0
2-3 Goals
38%
1.84
4-5 Goals
22%
3.1
6+ Goals
9%
10.1
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.0 — our 31% vs market 19.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
2.91
1/2
5%
31.5
1/X
9%
12.75
X/1
11%
4.93
X/2
9%
6.8
X/X
13%
5.07
2/1
9%
24.0
2/2
23%
4.56
2/X
6%
13.0
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: BTTS No ★★ Away Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
45%
-10.0pp
28%
Draw
26%
+2.3pp
37%
Away Win
30%
+7.8pp
53%
Under 2.5
44%
+8.5pp
47%
Over 2.5
56%
-8.5pp
46%
BTTS Yes
58%
-12.1pp
54%
BTTS No
42%
+12.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME FC Dornbirn 1913 EU Bookmakers 49%
Head to Head
AWAY Kapfenberger SV EU Bookmakers 33%
-29% / -29% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +17%
1.13/2.06 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.34/1.44
-31% / -32% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -3% / +11%
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
277 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 251 · 70%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.0
Crosses 14.3
2.4 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME FC Dornbirn 1913
3W-0D-3L
AWAY Kapfenberger SV
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
50% Ball Possession 50%
8 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 3
21.10.2023 Kapfenberger SV Kapfenberger SV 3-2 HT 2-0 FC Dornbirn 1913 FC Dornbirn 1913 AU2
06.05.2023 Kapfenberger SV Kapfenberger SV 2-1 HT 0-1 FC Dornbirn 1913 FC Dornbirn 1913 AU2
09.09.2022 FC Dornbirn 1913 FC Dornbirn 1913 2-1 HT 1-1 Kapfenberger SV Kapfenberger SV AU2
19.03.2022 Kapfenberger SV Kapfenberger SV 2-0 HT 1-0 FC Dornbirn 1913 FC Dornbirn 1913 AU2
27.08.2021 FC Dornbirn 1913 FC Dornbirn 1913 4-1 HT 1-1 Kapfenberger SV Kapfenberger SV AU2
16.05.2021 Kapfenberger SV Kapfenberger SV 0-1 HT 0-1 FC Dornbirn 1913 FC Dornbirn 1913 AU2
POST-MATCH FC Dornbirn 1913 vs Kapfenberger SV
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Kapfenberger SV got the better of FC Dornbirn 1913 3-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

We called this one close before kick-off — 35% / 28% / 37% — and on the day Kapfenberger SV made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for FC Dornbirn 1913 and 1.50 for Kapfenberger SV.

What was the final score of FC Dornbirn 1913 vs Kapfenberger SV?

FC Dornbirn 1913 1-3 Kapfenberger SV in the Austria - 1st Division on 03/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for FC Dornbirn 1913 vs Kapfenberger SV?

Before kick-off our model rated an Kapfenberger SV win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split FC Dornbirn 1913 35%, draw 28%, Kapfenberger SV 37%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Kapfenberger SV) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Kapfenberger SV) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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