Leoben 0-0 St. Pölten — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Austria - 1st Division, 3 May 2024

📅03/05/2024 · 🕒19:10 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
2.12
Draw
24%
3.28
Away
30%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
1.75
Over 2.5
54%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.81
No
48%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2.93
2-3 Goals
38%
1.77
4-5 Goals EV+ ✗
25%
3.98
6+ Goals
12%
18.25
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 3.98 — our 25% vs market 19.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
3.09
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
9%
13.5
X/1
18%
4.67
X/2
8%
6.45
X/X
10%
4.32
2/1 EV+ ✗
8%
27.5
2/2
15%
4.84
2/X
5%
13.8
Value flag · 2/1 at 27.5 — our 8% vs market 1.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
44%
+3.0pp
24%
Draw
27%
-3.5pp
30%
Away Win
29%
+0.5pp
46%
Under 2.5
53%
-7.4pp
54%
Over 2.5
47%
+7.4pp
52%
BTTS Yes
51%
+0.5pp
48%
BTTS No
49%
-0.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Leoben EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY St. Pölten EU Bookmakers 32%
-7% / -8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -9% / -27%
2.75/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.07/2.60
-4% / -12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -29% / -22%
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
316 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 277 · 72%
24.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 25.0
22.0 Crosses 16.0
3.0 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Leoben
3W-0D-0L
AWAY St. Pölten
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
27% Ball Possession 73%
5 Total Shots 9
3 Shots on Target 3
2 Corners 2
1 Yellow Cards 1
22.10.2023 St. Pölten St. Pölten 1-2 HT 0-1 Leoben Leoben AU2
15.05.2009 Leoben Leoben 2-1 HT 2-1 St. Pölten St. Pölten AU2
01.08.2008 Leoben Leoben 2-1 HT 1-0 St. Pölten St. Pölten AU2
POST-MATCH Leoben vs St. Pölten
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Leoben and St. Pölten played out a goalless draw. Neither side could find a way through.

Our pre-match lean was Leoben at 47%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Leoben had the better of it with 3 wins. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Leoben and 1.00 for St. Pölten.

What was the final score of Leoben vs St. Pölten?

Leoben 0-0 St. Pölten in the Austria - 1st Division on 03/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Leoben vs St. Pölten?

Before kick-off our model rated a Leoben win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Leoben 47%, draw 24%, St. Pölten 30%. The final score 0-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Leoben) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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