FC Liefering 4-1 Sturm Graz II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Austria - 1st Division, 3 May 2024

📅03/05/2024 · 🕒19:10 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
1.43
Draw
23%
4.62
Away
31%
5.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
3.68
Over 2.5
57%
1.25
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.41
No
49%
2.67
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
9.26
2-3 Goals
39%
2.46
4-5 Goals
26%
2.34
6+ Goals
13%
3.69
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
1.67
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
5%
16.85
X/1
13%
4.14
X/2
10%
14.0
X/X
13%
9.05
2/1
5%
16.75
2/2
15%
8.39
2/X
6%
16.7
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
65%
-19.7pp
23%
Draw
18%
+5.0pp
31%
Away Win
16%
+14.8pp
43%
Under 2.5
24%
+19.0pp
57%
Over 2.5
76%
-19.0pp
51%
BTTS Yes
67%
-16.2pp
49%
BTTS No
33%
+16.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME FC Liefering EU Bookmakers 70%
Head to Head
AWAY Sturm Graz II EU Bookmakers 20%
-10% / -12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +17% / +17%
2.15/1.29 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.70/1.95
+2% / -33% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +61% / +0%
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
300 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 258 · 71%
25.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
19.2 Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME FC Liefering
1W-1D-1L
AWAY Sturm Graz II
2.33 Avg Goals (FT) 2.33
2.46 xG 1.58
51% Ball Possession 49%
16 Total Shots 12
7 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 7
213 Passes 186
63% Pass Accuracy 59%
28 Box Touches 30
16 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 4
21.10.2023 Sturm Graz II Sturm Graz II 1-1 HT 0-0 FC Liefering FC Liefering AU2
26.05.2023 Sturm Graz II Sturm Graz II 4-2 HT 2-1 FC Liefering FC Liefering AU2
26.08.2022 FC Liefering FC Liefering 4-2 HT 2-0 Sturm Graz II Sturm Graz II AU2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME FC Liefering
4-1
AWAY Sturm Graz II
57% Ball Possession 43%
23 Total Shots 15
11 Shots on Target 5
7 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH FC Liefering vs Sturm Graz II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

FC Liefering swept aside Sturm Graz II 4-1. Half-time: 3-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had FC Liefering as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (57%) came in.

On the day, FC Liefering had 57% of the ball to Sturm Graz II's 43%, shots finished 23-15.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.33 goals for FC Liefering and 2.33 for Sturm Graz II.

What was the final score of FC Liefering vs Sturm Graz II?

FC Liefering 4-1 Sturm Graz II in the Austria - 1st Division on 03/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for FC Liefering vs Sturm Graz II?

Before kick-off our model rated a FC Liefering win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split FC Liefering 46%, draw 23%, Sturm Graz II 31%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (FC Liefering), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (FC Liefering) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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