Grazer AK 1-0 Admira Wacker — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Austria - 1st Division, 3 May 2024

📅03/05/2024 · 🕒21:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.02
Draw
26%
3.35
Away
38%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
1.82
Over 2.5
51%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.75
No
47%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
3.18
2-3 Goals
39%
1.78
4-5 Goals
25%
3.69
6+ Goals
9%
15.4
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
2.88
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
6%
13.5
X/1
13%
4.56
X/2
16%
6.83
X/X
13%
4.59
2/1
7%
25.5
2/2
16%
5.06
2/X
7%
13.9
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
46%
-9.8pp
26%
Draw
26%
-0.4pp
38%
Away Win
28%
+10.1pp
49%
Under 2.5
51%
-2.0pp
51%
Over 2.5
49%
+2.0pp
53%
BTTS Yes
53%
-0.1pp
47%
BTTS No
47%
+0.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Grazer AK EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Admira Wacker EU Bookmakers 32%
+1% / +9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -18% / -19%
2.43/1.18 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.34/0.93
-11% / +40% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +11% / -3%
50% Ball Possession 50%
10 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
244 · 67% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 265 · 69%
30.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.0
29.0 Crosses 24.0
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Grazer AK
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Admira Wacker
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 1
20.10.2023 Admira Wacker Admira Wacker 0-0 HT 0-0 Grazer AK Grazer AK AU2
05.03.2023 Grazer AK Grazer AK 1-0 HT 1-0 Admira Wacker Admira Wacker AU2
29.07.2022 Admira Wacker Admira Wacker 4-3 HT 3-2 Grazer AK Grazer AK AU2
12.04.2006 Grazer AK Grazer AK 3-0 HT 1-0 Admira Wacker Admira Wacker AVU
03.12.2005 Admira Wacker Admira Wacker 2-0 HT 0-0 Grazer AK Grazer AK AVU
02.10.2005 Grazer AK Grazer AK 4-1 HT 3-0 Admira Wacker Admira Wacker AVU
POST-MATCH Grazer AK vs Admira Wacker
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Grazer AK edged past Admira Wacker 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (36% / 26% / 38%) promised a tight game; Grazer AK found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Grazer AK had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Grazer AK and 1.17 for Admira Wacker.

What was the final score of Grazer AK vs Admira Wacker?

Grazer AK 1-0 Admira Wacker in the Austria - 1st Division on 03/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Grazer AK vs Admira Wacker?

Before kick-off our model rated an Admira Wacker win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Grazer AK 36%, draw 26%, Admira Wacker 38%. The final score 1-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Admira Wacker) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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