AGF Aarhus vs FC Nordsjaelland Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
AGF Aarhus v FC Nordsjaelland — Team-Based Signals
AGF Aarhus vs FC Nordsjaelland Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
0-0
HT 0-0
AGF Aarhus
DAN
1-3
HT 1-1
FC Nordsjaelland
DAN
1-1
HT 0-0
FC Nordsjaelland
DAN
AGF Aarhus 1-3 FC Nordsjaelland — Actual Match Statistics
FC Nordsjaelland saw off AGF Aarhus 3-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.
As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had FC Nordsjaelland as the likeliest winner at 52%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.
On the day, AGF Aarhus had 48% of the ball to FC Nordsjaelland's 52%, shots finished 14-12, expected goals 0.93 to 1.47.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for AGF Aarhus and 2.17 for FC Nordsjaelland.
What was the final score of AGF Aarhus vs FC Nordsjaelland?
AGF Aarhus 1-3 FC Nordsjaelland in the Denmark - Süperlig on 03/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for AGF Aarhus vs FC Nordsjaelland?
Before kick-off our model rated an FC Nordsjaelland win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split AGF Aarhus 24%, draw 23%, FC Nordsjaelland 52%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (FC Nordsjaelland) — while Under 2.5 went the other way.