Slavia Prag 4-3 Viktoria Plzen — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Czech Republic - Czech Liga, 3 May 2025

📅03/05/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
1.9
Draw
26%
3.35
Away
27%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
1.74
Over 2.5
51%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.88
No
50%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
1/2
7%
1/X
8%
X/1
11%
X/2
9%
X/X
11%
2/1
9%
2/2
11%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
49%
-1.7pp
26%
Draw
27%
-0.7pp
27%
Away Win
24%
+2.4pp
49%
Under 2.5
54%
-4.7pp
51%
Over 2.5
46%
+4.7pp
50%
BTTS Yes
49%
+0.9pp
50%
BTTS No
51%
-0.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Slavia Prag EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Viktoria Plzen EU Bookmakers 28%
+5% / +9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +15% / +26%
1.90/0.70 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.08/1.55
+23% / +52% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +93% / -7%
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
341 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 292 · 75%
28.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 34.0
16.0 Crosses 13.0
4.3 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Slavia Prag
4W-0D-2L
AWAY Viktoria Plzen
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
1.22 xG 0.76
56% Ball Possession 44%
13 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 4
277 Passes 214
73% Pass Accuracy 70%
30 Box Touches 20
22 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 2
23.02.2025 Viktoria Plzen Viktoria Plzen 1-3 HT 1-2 Slavia Prag Slavia Prag ÇEK
21.09.2024 Slavia Prag Slavia Prag 3-0 HT 3-0 Viktoria Plzen Viktoria Plzen ÇEK
15.05.2024 Slavia Prag Slavia Prag 3-0 HT 2-0 Viktoria Plzen Viktoria Plzen ÇEK
14.04.2024 Viktoria Plzen Viktoria Plzen 1-0 HT 0-0 Slavia Prag Slavia Prag ÇEK
05.11.2023 Slavia Prag Slavia Prag 1-2 HT 1-0 Viktoria Plzen Viktoria Plzen ÇEK
20.05.2023 Slavia Prag Slavia Prag 2-1 HT 1-0 Viktoria Plzen Viktoria Plzen ÇEK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Slavia Prag
4-3
AWAY Viktoria Plzen
4.14 xG 2.36
56% Ball Possession 44%
27 Total Shots 10
14 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 7
272 Passes 207
71% Pass Accuracy 68%
51 Box Touches 35
24 Crosses 12
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Slavia Prag vs Viktoria Plzen
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Slavia Prag nicked a narrow win over Viktoria Plzen 4-3. It was 1-2 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 7 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had Slavia Prag as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 4-3 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Slavia Prag had 56% of the ball to Viktoria Plzen's 44%, shots finished 27-10, expected goals 4.14 to 2.36 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Slavia Prag's control.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Slavia Prag had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Slavia Prag and 0.83 for Viktoria Plzen.

What was the final score of Slavia Prag vs Viktoria Plzen?

Slavia Prag 4-3 Viktoria Plzen in the Czech Republic - Czech Liga on 03/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Slavia Prag vs Viktoria Plzen?

Before kick-off our model rated a Slavia Prag win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Slavia Prag 47%, draw 26%, Viktoria Plzen 27%. The final score 4-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Slavia Prag), Over 2.5 — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Slavia Prag) ✓ Over 2.5
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