Dukla Prag 2-0 FK Pardubice — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Czech Republic - Czech Liga, 3 May 2025

📅03/05/2025 · 🕒14:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
1.75
Draw
26%
3.64
Away
32%
4.04
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.86
Over 2.5
45%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.82
No
53%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
31%
3.16
2-3 Goals
39%
1.76
4-5 Goals
22%
3.44
6+ Goals
8%
13.5
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.16 — our 31% vs market 25.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
5%
1/X
5%
X/1
11%
X/2
14%
X/X
10%
2/1
9%
2/2
13%
2/X
11%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
54%
-12.0pp
26%
Draw
24%
+1.6pp
32%
Away Win
22%
+10.3pp
55%
Under 2.5
50%
+5.3pp
45%
Over 2.5
50%
-5.3pp
47%
BTTS Yes
51%
-3.6pp
53%
BTTS No
49%
+3.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Dukla Prag EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY FK Pardubice EU Bookmakers 25%
-10% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +7%
1.49/1.09 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.09/1.61
-17% / -10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +5% / -5%
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
359 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 251 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.6
Crosses 15.9
Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Dukla Prag
2W-1D-3L
AWAY FK Pardubice
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.46 xG 1.06
51% Ball Possession 49%
9 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
241 Passes 326
74% Pass Accuracy 78%
17 Box Touches 23
20 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 2
15.03.2025 FK Pardubice FK Pardubice 0-1 HT 0-0 Dukla Prag Dukla Prag ÇEK
19.10.2024 Dukla Prag Dukla Prag 2-1 HT 0-1 FK Pardubice FK Pardubice ÇEK
03.07.2024 FK Pardubice FK Pardubice 1-1 Dukla Prag Dukla Prag HAZ
10.06.2020 Dukla Prag Dukla Prag 0-1 HT 0-0 FK Pardubice FK Pardubice ÇEK2
14.09.2019 FK Pardubice FK Pardubice 3-1 HT 2-1 Dukla Prag Dukla Prag ÇEK2
22.06.2019 FK Pardubice FK Pardubice 3-0 HT 2-0 Dukla Prag Dukla Prag HAZ
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Dukla Prag
2-0
AWAY FK Pardubice
1.54 xG 0.30
41% Ball Possession 59%
16 Total Shots 5
4 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 3
248 Passes 416
75% Pass Accuracy 85%
40 Box Touches 15
14 Crosses 16
0 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Dukla Prag vs FK Pardubice
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Dukla Prag got the better of FK Pardubice 2-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Dukla Prag as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (55%) came in.

On the day, Dukla Prag had 41% of the ball to FK Pardubice's 59%, shots finished 16-5, expected goals 1.54 to 0.30.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, FK Pardubice led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Dukla Prag and 1.50 for FK Pardubice.

What was the final score of Dukla Prag vs FK Pardubice?

Dukla Prag 2-0 FK Pardubice in the Czech Republic - Czech Liga on 03/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Dukla Prag vs FK Pardubice?

Before kick-off our model rated a Dukla Prag win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Dukla Prag 42%, draw 26%, FK Pardubice 32%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Dukla Prag), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Dukla Prag) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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