Hradec Kralove 1-0 Karvina — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Czech Republic - Czech Liga, 3 May 2025

📅03/05/2025 · 🕒14:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
53%
1.72
Draw
23%
3.64
Away
24%
4.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.97
Over 2.5
50%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.76
No
51%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
23%
3.48
2-3 Goals
44%
1.79
4-5 Goals
22%
3.19
6+ Goals
11%
11.2
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.48 — our 23% vs market 22.5%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
31%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
13%
X/2
9%
X/X
10%
2/1
9%
2/2
10%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
53%
Home Win
54%
-1.3pp
23%
Draw
24%
-1.8pp
24%
Away Win
21%
+3.1pp
50%
Under 2.5
47%
+3.0pp
50%
Over 2.5
53%
-3.0pp
49%
BTTS Yes
53%
-3.8pp
51%
BTTS No
47%
+3.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Hradec Kralove EU Bookmakers 58%
Head to Head
AWAY Karvina EU Bookmakers 24%
+18% / +18% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +11%
1.29/0.73 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.76/1.89
+8% / +77% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +15% / -15%
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
331 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 228 · 70%
29.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.5
23.4 Crosses 14.8
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Hradec Kralove
2W-3D-1L
AWAY Karvina
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
1.18 xG 0.46
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 4
319 Passes 237
80% Pass Accuracy 71%
34 Box Touches 17
27 Crosses 19
2 Yellow Cards 2
09.03.2025 Hradec Kralove Hradec Kralove 1-1 HT 1-1 Karvina Karvina ÇEK
05.10.2024 Karvina Karvina 0-0 HT 0-0 Hradec Kralove Hradec Kralove ÇEK
31.03.2024 Hradec Kralove Hradec Kralove 2-1 HT 1-1 Karvina Karvina ÇEK
21.10.2023 Karvina Karvina 1-0 HT 0-0 Hradec Kralove Hradec Kralove ÇEK
28.11.2021 Hradec Kralove Hradec Kralove 1-0 HT 1-0 Karvina Karvina ÇEK
31.07.2021 Karvina Karvina 1-1 HT 1-1 Hradec Kralove Hradec Kralove ÇEK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Hradec Kralove
1-0
AWAY Karvina
1.61 xG 2.14
40% Ball Possession 60%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 5
232 Passes 383
73% Pass Accuracy 81%
21 Box Touches 22
12 Crosses 12
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Hradec Kralove vs Karvina
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Hradec Kralove edged past Karvina 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Hradec Kralove as the likeliest winner at 53%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Hradec Kralove had 40% of the ball to Karvina's 60%, shots finished 12-12, expected goals 1.61 to 2.14 — on chances, Karvina could feel hard done by.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Hradec Kralove had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Hradec Kralove and 0.67 for Karvina.

What was the final score of Hradec Kralove vs Karvina?

Hradec Kralove 1-0 Karvina in the Czech Republic - Czech Liga on 03/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Hradec Kralove vs Karvina?

Before kick-off our model rated a Hradec Kralove win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Hradec Kralove 53%, draw 23%, Karvina 24%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Hradec Kralove), BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Hradec Kralove) ✓ BTTS No
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