Dukla Prag 2-1 FK Pardubice — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Czech Republic - Czech Liga, 19 Oct 2024

📅19/10/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.02
Draw
23%
3.35
Away
36%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
1.82
Over 2.5
52%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.75
No
49%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
3.19
2-3 Goals
41%
1.78
4-5 Goals
22%
3.68
6+ Goals
10%
15.25
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
15%
X/2
11%
X/X
10%
2/1
8%
2/2
19%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
46%
-4.7pp
23%
Draw
26%
-3.4pp
36%
Away Win
28%
+8.1pp
48%
Under 2.5
51%
-3.4pp
52%
Over 2.5
49%
+3.4pp
51%
BTTS Yes
53%
-1.6pp
49%
BTTS No
47%
+1.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Dukla Prag EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY FK Pardubice EU Bookmakers 32%
+5% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / -3%
1.82/0.64 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.21/1.26
+23% / +64% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +5% / +9%
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
260 · 70% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 266 · 70%
28.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 25.3
17.0 Crosses 14.5
3.0 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Dukla Prag
0W-1D-3L
AWAY FK Pardubice
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
53% Ball Possession 46%
9 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 2
03.07.2024 FK Pardubice FK Pardubice 1-1 Dukla Prag Dukla Prag HAZ
10.06.2020 Dukla Prag Dukla Prag 0-1 HT 0-0 FK Pardubice FK Pardubice ÇEK2
14.09.2019 FK Pardubice FK Pardubice 3-1 HT 2-1 Dukla Prag Dukla Prag ÇEK2
22.06.2019 FK Pardubice FK Pardubice 3-0 HT 2-0 Dukla Prag Dukla Prag HAZ
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Dukla Prag
2-1
AWAY FK Pardubice
52% Ball Possession 48%
10 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 3
276 Passes 263
76% Pass Accuracy 76%
17 Box Touches 18
21 Crosses 11
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Dukla Prag vs FK Pardubice
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Dukla Prag edged past FK Pardubice 2-1. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match split (41% / 23% / 36%) promised a tight game; Dukla Prag found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Dukla Prag had 52% of the ball to FK Pardubice's 48%, shots finished 10-11.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, FK Pardubice led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Dukla Prag and 2.00 for FK Pardubice.

What was the final score of Dukla Prag vs FK Pardubice?

Dukla Prag 2-1 FK Pardubice in the Czech Republic - Czech Liga on 19/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Dukla Prag vs FK Pardubice?

Before kick-off our model rated a Dukla Prag win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Dukla Prag 41%, draw 23%, FK Pardubice 36%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Dukla Prag), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Dukla Prag) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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